TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x929e…6a87

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 52 out of 100; worst Cricket at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3565.7%23 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$31.31
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$58.42
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$24.03
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.37
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$128.72
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.21
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$44.3
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$82.81
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.21
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.1
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.21
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36.12
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72.54
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24.07
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$67.07
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.21
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.1
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.33
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25.07
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24.07
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.56
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$232.71
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru - Who wins the toss?backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.93
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+98%+$10.89
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.41
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$31
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$14.86
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.6
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.79
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+42.9%+$26.7
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30.8
U19 World Cup: India Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19sbacked Pakistan Under-19s · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.32
WPL: Gujarat Giants Women vs Delhi Capitals Womenbacked Delhi Capitals Women · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.24
Will the Punjab Kings win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.94
Will the Mumbai Indians win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+49%+$111.7
All 19 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37%+$4.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.