Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbc817fb6d80eeb9d552e9b8ad632ffa83889f1c3154e6caac6c825df1b4cc8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunrisers Hyderabadof Sunrisers Hyderabad, Royal Challengers Bengaluru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x929e…6a87backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 9c | 1,677$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…e387backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 49c | 420.03$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.21 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 49c | 318.01$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.01 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 311$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…c980backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 50c | 293.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…3275backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 49c | 202.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.22 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd841…64cabacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9a…b45bbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 183$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8275…a9aebacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 50c | 159.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…7804backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 157.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 60c | 141$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +8.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…93d0backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 116.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 63c | 109.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…f49abacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 55c | 101.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 66c | 86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…6c2cbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 82.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 45c | 75.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…0c4bbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…066dbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 52c | 61.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe9…98c6backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 50c | 60.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9d…1bcfbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…96e8backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 49c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8316…6857backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 49c | 51.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…a47abacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa40…526dbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…b7f3backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1f…8756backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd26…d609backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…6deebacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 46.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…591dbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 41.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…bb68backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e3…f804backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 49c | 37.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…3d6fbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cf…0412backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 53c | 35.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…663cbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 46c | 31.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…1911backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…08b8backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd024…126fbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…308fbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers BengaluruSunrisers Hyderabad won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.