TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e9d…1bcf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Cricket, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$18.65
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$105.96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$284.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$29.75
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$73.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,014Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$1,609.93
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$306.07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,683Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39%+$657.15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.91
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.56
All 15 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Cricket — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka - Who wins the toss?backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+94%+$14.1
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+99%+$39.61
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Middlesex - Who wins the toss?backed Middlesex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Indonesia vs Nepalbacked Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$23.57
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.72
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals - Who wins the toss?backed Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+95%+$95
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?backed Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Nottinghamshirebacked Nottinghamshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.19
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals - Who wins the toss?backed Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.99
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$30.32
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings - Who wins the toss?backed Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.83
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru - Who wins the toss?backed Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+238.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$42.69
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+192.5%+$28.87
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.