Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe6e40704887531a3de96ce8afe633c16b35fe478751bb351abb7f1e8c566c2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Punjab Kingsof Lucknow Super Giants, Punjab Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 49c | 551.95$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.46 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…0d6cbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 59c | 500$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…2616backed Punjab Kings | 55c | 462.82$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.7 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Lucknow Super Giants | 48c | 423.74$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.29 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd841…64cabacked Punjab Kings | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…f49abacked Punjab Kings | 52c | 165.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.48 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…066dbacked Punjab Kings | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 115.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…a74fbacked Punjab Kings | 50c | 98.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…f6e3backed Lucknow Super Giants | 49c | 93.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9a…b45bbacked Punjab Kings | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…c980backed Punjab Kings | 50c | 82.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…6deebacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 80.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x537f…b914backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 80.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…0c4bbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 51c | 78.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…3275backed Punjab Kings | 50c | 74.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd024…126fbacked Punjab Kings | 51c | 72.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1f…8756backed Punjab Kings | 48c | 69.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…a47abacked Lucknow Super Giants | 45c | 69.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9d…1bcfbacked Punjab Kings | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe04b…37a8backed Punjab Kings | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd26…d609backed Punjab Kings | 52c | 51.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…6c2cbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 50.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Lucknow Super Giants | 52c | 49.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 115 | 24.3%28 W · 87 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…0c14backed Lucknow Super Giants | 52c | 48.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…562cbacked Punjab Kings | 63c | 47.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c03…ec0ebacked Punjab Kings | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd183…87aebacked Punjab Kings | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…ba31backed Punjab Kings | 52c | 36.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 176 | 41.5%73 W · 103 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…5750backed Punjab Kings | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…96e8backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d038backed Punjab Kings | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 116 | 25%29 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…4f07backed Punjab Kings | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…663cbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cf…0412backed Punjab Kings | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8316…6857backed Punjab Kings | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde47…40d0backed Punjab Kings | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…591dbacked Punjab Kings | 50c | 23.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Punjab Kings | 51c | 22.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…65c8backed Punjab Kings | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…d024backed Punjab Kings | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04c6…cda7backed Punjab Kings | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e3…f804backed Punjab Kings | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc06e…aebabacked Punjab Kings | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked Punjab Kings | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…432fbacked Punjab Kings | 52c | 19.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab KingsPunjab Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.