TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe04b…37a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
189
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Cricket at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT4639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.79
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.42
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$27
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$23.48
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$35.55
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlinsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$27.74
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$16.02
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+103%+$51.52
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$60.1
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+214.9%+$180.52
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.52
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$27
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+192.8%+$135.53
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.7
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+204.7%+$90.93
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+181.3%+$80.01
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.83
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.19
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+283.4%+$308.95
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$70
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$37.9
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$51.59
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$54.73
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.71
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+326.8%+$202.61
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$65.78
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.05
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+212%+$135.6
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$57.27
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.1
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+102%+$69.36
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+175.5%+$129.85
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$134.51
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2425%6 W · 18 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+483%+$391.25
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$28.11
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$48.51
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$64.13
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$41.72
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$50.76
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
All 24 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New Zealand win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Irelandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+230.7%+$62.29
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$58.61
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings - Who wins the toss?backed Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$25.94
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.13
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.53
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$30.15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$55.27
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$27.49
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-63.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+188.6%+$47.14
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$36.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.