MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3959a45336d30cf95c310fa6c4f773e3e8171c7f4038dc7bd980ccafdac798b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Washington Nationals, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $728,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $879,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $728,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb188…8d5bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 123,979$79,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,563.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 95,024$34,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,628.67 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 70,565$26,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,109.21 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 64,532$40,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,521.82 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594d…059dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 62,180$39,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,006.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 60,000$37,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,199.97 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 58,413$21,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,431.36 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 31,864$12,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,045.75 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 17,553$12,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,290.87 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 16,130$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,129.31 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 15,887$4,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,778.78 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 15,386$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,912.13 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 26c | 14,679$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.26 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 14,155$5,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,379.02 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 12,821$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 10,811$6,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,148.76 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…5846backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 9,800$6,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 9,392$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.62 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 8,196$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.44 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 7,932$6,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.21 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…16a3backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 7,484$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 6,875$4,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.58 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 5,556$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.88 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 5,281$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.79 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 4,975$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 4,788$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.56 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 4,636$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 4,055$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.69 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 4,053$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.36 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 3,264$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.72 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 2,823$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.16 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 2,509$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.6 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 2,139$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.01 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 2,058$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 1,959$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.3 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 1,742$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.24 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c0…e88fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 1,626$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 1,617$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.54 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 1,548$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.83 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 1,525$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,379$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.02 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 1,235$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.62 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93df…481bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 1,174$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa089…e31cbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,156$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,148$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.96 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals | 22c | 1,104$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.06 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 1,087$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.15 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 1,066$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.9 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 1,036$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.32 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…9514backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 1,001$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,001$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 1,001$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.27 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…b0febacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 987$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.06 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 964.98$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.84 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 949.77$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.42 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 946$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 874$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.64 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 855.99$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.39 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 840.41$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.24 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 14c | 806.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.93 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Washington Nationals | 26c | 605.17$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c2…58e9backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 544.39$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 528.88$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.26 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…f13ebacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 510$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b54…3b6ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 510$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 498.87$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.51 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 488.16$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.62 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 485$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.85 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 479.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 477.78$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.91 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…a73abacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 456.13$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.89 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…ec86backed Washington Nationals | 10c | 427.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 414.58$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.58 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 412.57$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 380.35$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 355$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 340$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 339.96$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 334.05$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.53 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 329.91$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 316.46$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.13 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 299.98$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.