TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Canadiens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sabresof Sabres, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,160,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,207,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,160,456 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 959 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Sabres43c106,702$45,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,766.2716442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Sabres42c87,677$36,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,728.7811644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Canadiens57c74,209$42,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,298.976352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Sabres43c46,081$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,081.252240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Canadiens59c42,373$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0002564%16 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens55c37,945$21,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,043.331,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Sabres49c37,842$18,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,204.364161%25 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Canadiens57c35,000$19,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,95026849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…fe8fbacked Canadiens58c34,090$19,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,772.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Canadiens60c34,000$20,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,4007545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc336…02abbacked Sabres46c27,207$12,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,636.75560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres41c25,396$10,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,057.841,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Canadiens57c23,066$13,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,116.689636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Sabres43c17,983$7,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,250.526137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Sabres35c16,920$5,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,041.6211352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Canadiens46c14,604$6,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,758.8140351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Sabres47c14,319$6,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,605.962433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Sabres44c13,311$5,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,475.4527044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Sabres40c12,822$5,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,630.7712654.8%69 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked Sabres43c12,538$5,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,121.482236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Sabres40c12,500$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50012950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Canadiens41c12,034$4,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9467038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Sabres43c11,212$4,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,393.4618452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Sabres42c10,802$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,301.7652050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Sabres41c10,558$4,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,229.222365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb8e…34cebacked Canadiens57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.993164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Canadiens55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.931947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Canadiens58c9,877$5,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7502653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Canadiens48c9,779$4,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,682.563036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Sabres35c9,276$3,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,021.1930259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked Sabres41c9,270$3,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,469.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens53c9,266$4,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,875.611,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Canadiens56c9,000$5,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,04030946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Sabres41c8,286$3,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,854.5311952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Sabres65c8,245$5,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,924.651266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Sabres28c8,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,759.995276.9%40 W · 12 L+11.6wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+42.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres43c7,928$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,547.871,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Canadiens37c7,524$2,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,756.8199638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Sabres45c7,439$3,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,058.1128749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens47c7,306$3,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,407.882,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Canadiens53c7,159$3,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,805.4311950.4%60 W · 59 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3c…20cfbacked Canadiens58c7,027$4,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,075.53650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc89b…4b6bbacked Canadiens58c6,436$3,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,752.74450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Sabres42c6,328$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,670.391,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens57c6,155$3,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,508.358845.5%40 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens59c5,944$3,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,514.1833151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Canadiens62c5,676$3,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,541.733652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…2317backed Canadiens56c5,249$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.381631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Sabres43c4,423$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.26977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+49.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Canadiens56c4,370$2,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,464.5820951.7%108 W · 101 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sabres43c4,136$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.521,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Sabres43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2801442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Canadiens56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.9511153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Sabres42c3,921$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.7861950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Sabres62c3,873$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.3685464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Canadiens59c3,822$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25532151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Canadiens57c3,586$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.2433234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Sabres42c3,500$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0303158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Sabres43c3,500$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9952441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Canadiens56c3,409$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.2567051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Canadiens24c3,289$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.423228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Canadiens59c3,256$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.26837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Sabres34c3,073$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.7912152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Sabres44c3,000$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6956841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Sabres43c2,806$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.069157.1%52 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a90…1dddbacked Sabres43c2,776$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3082…9b55backed Sabres66c2,720$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.673132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-43.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Sabres42c2,702$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.3839649.5%196 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sabres44c2,595$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.853,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Sabres36c2,571$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.431816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Canadiens57c2,505$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.946456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Sabres41c2,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47513333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xab82…abe5backed Sabres44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Canadiens58c2,500$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45031848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Sabres42c2,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.994555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8409…35ebbacked Canadiens55c2,454$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3521650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Sabres48c2,430$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.12,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Canadiens56c2,400$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3449149.5%45 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked Canadiens56c2,287$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3768…3984backed Sabres44c2,190$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.191080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+52.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Sabres41c2,052$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.442142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16a…aadfbacked Canadiens57c2,035$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c1…41fcbacked Canadiens57c2,021$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x894e…9629backed Canadiens57c2,011$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked Canadiens56c2,002$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.114060%24 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Sabres47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0603360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Canadiens52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9938046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11fb…3557backed Sabres44c1,993$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.31742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Canadiens57c1,990$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.1789249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Sabres43c1,980$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.4954047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e0f…27f3backed Canadiens57c1,968$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.681650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d4…a3a9backed Sabres43c1,945$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.47955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0de8…86eabacked Sabres43c1,921$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.88333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed1…1657backed Sabres39c1,889$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa5…7059backed Sabres40c1,886$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.42176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+44%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x20ac…914abacked Sabres44c1,884$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Sabres43c1,860$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.1961959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe71d…d79fbacked Canadiens57c1,834$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.49944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7287…6d9abacked Canadiens57c1,831$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.9933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4874…e7febacked Canadiens57c1,817$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.6785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+57.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.