NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe28b3f6bc7f5d40913aa58fe66a905823517a63d007265865e66fecada2cb0da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 28c | 1,212$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 18c | 1,027$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.45 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 648.21$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.91 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 73c | 519.82$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Over | 12c | 509$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 10c | 448.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 72c | 444$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 43c | 412.48$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.73 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 14c | 400$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 77c | 339.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.74 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 18c | 299.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Over | 26c | 254.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Over | 23c | 217.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 42c | 186$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 27c | 176.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 61c | 165.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Over | 25c | 125.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 28c | 112.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 64c | 105$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 26c | 102.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Over | 27c | 92.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 11c | 89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…8843backed Under | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 45c | 76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 73c | 69.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Under | 63c | 55.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…3181backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…2451backed Over | 34c | 43.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Over | 41c | 38.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 74c | 29.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 40c | 25.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 71c | 17.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5this page
- Sabres vs. CanadiensSabres won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.