NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c7882a68d0aff966c818a1c6876ab092205ff43a9786ed1d1742dded0b39a63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 58c | 5,680$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294.33 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 42c | 5,555$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.9 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 59c | 3,500$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.98 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 3,069$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.97 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 43c | 2,233$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.94 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Over | 58c | 2,217$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.8 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 1,590$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.68 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Over | 57c | 1,479$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 42c | 1,315$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.71 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 41c | 1,287$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.52 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Over | 59c | 1,271$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 41c | 790.93$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.65 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 53c | 619.66$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.62 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 42c | 599.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 28c | 515.45$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.6 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Over | 39c | 458.02$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.63 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 413.46$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 43c | 354.95$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.76 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 57c | 350.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 311.51$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.95 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 58c | 304$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.32 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 25c | 258$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 35c | 230.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.51 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 42c | 222.21$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 63c | 219.36$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 59c | 211.12$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 43c | 206.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 28c | 206.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.89 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…2ea8backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Under | 32c | 150.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 66c | 150.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 42c | 111.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Over | 58c | 105$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 23c | 102$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 70c | 101.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Over | 59c | 97.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 57c | 96.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 40c | 92.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 27c | 90$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…1865backed Over | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 57c | 87.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 73c | 87.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Over | 57c | 86.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4f…0ebebacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Under | 60c | 80.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 43c | 74.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 67c | 71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79f3…521ebacked Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 31c | 68.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 58c | 66.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Over | 74c | 65.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 73c | 59.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 30c | 58.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 58c | 55.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 47c | 52.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…cad6backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 51c | 51.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffa8…6f67backed Over | 62c | 48.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 42c | 48.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 58c | 47.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 58c | 47.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 74c | 46.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 42c | 44.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 45c | 43.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x445b…cc32backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…44f9backed Over | 59c | 38.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 42c | 33.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Over | 65c | 29.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked Over | 58c | 27.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 58c | 27.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 58c | 24.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 53c | 22.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Over | 51c | 21.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd328…8b13backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5this page
- Sabres vs. CanadiensSabres won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.