TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,250

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,387 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb9c7…aadebacked Over46c57,081$26,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,086.373847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under54c46,630$25,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,449.6512146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over45c8,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under55c7,444$4,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.833151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5248…aabbbacked Under55c6,666$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.75147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under55c4,818$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.183844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Over46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8401442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under55c3,531$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.7428749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Under55c3,000$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.09862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over45c2,862$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.8511952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c2,313$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.841,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Over46c2,222$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.096137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Over54c1,839$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15504%2 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-25.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Over1c1,477$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.77238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c1,211$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.132,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.059562.1%59 W · 36 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59426154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over45c1,100$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4969258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under55c1,005$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.256456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under56c892.71$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.792536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c718.43$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.6876950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Over71c710$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.281838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Under46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3241070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under54c558$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.689948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under56c550.03$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.7828652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over55c538.75$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.791,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb58d…fadfbacked Under55c538.49$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.321926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Under55c520.39$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.995655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over45c488.87$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.993831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c391.82$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8182353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.642857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over44c359.98$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3924442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Over50c310$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15515839.9%63 W · 95 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x565a…3207backed Under46c308.87$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.79862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over51c298.81$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4617248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under54c281.04$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2814549%71 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…03c2backed Under55c268.6$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.876750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ec…7ddebacked Under56c262.79$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae1…d85abacked Under55c238.75$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under67c237.53$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.357047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under34c231$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7661848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under67c204.85$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.199638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10213336.1%48 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1de2…970ebacked Over60c196.79$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.197850%39 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over45c155.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6948552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under44c148.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.861,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under40c139.94$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.943161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Under55c126.18$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7810256.9%58 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under55c122.53$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3633554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.685269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Under56c112$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2811950.4%60 W · 59 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over46c107.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Under56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1410744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c101.19$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6413841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over61c100.06$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7349851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6160449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8deb…1ef3backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under32c96$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3534547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Under46c95.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.651070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under30c88.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7629533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under55c84.24$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.915147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under46c82.03$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.255141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over37c78.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6724946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0739751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under48c69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.971,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over45c66.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.313953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd13c…98a7backed Under45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f7…5ff2backed Over46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe16…60bebacked Under40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over69c58.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3214855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over46c58.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7933647.9%161 W · 175 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c57.92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.763,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under53c57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7933745.7%154 W · 183 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over45c55.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1820350.7%103 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8225…68d2backed Over38c52.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under57c52.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1541050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Under36c51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.642536%9 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under54c50.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.212458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2445069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2110…d4fbbacked Under41c48.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7114560.7%88 W · 57 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under42c46.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.88757.5%50 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x269d…0c2cbacked Under54c45.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x951b…291abacked Under55c45.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.476540%26 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Under55c43.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.743250%16 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae37…90f2backed Over48c41.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under75c41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2514347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under43c40.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2838551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aff…9903backed Over47c40.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Over46c38.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.784634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under55c36.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5910148.5%49 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under55c36.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4421253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Under39c36.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.314542.8%62 W · 83 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a1a…8984backed Under56c34.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.023253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9411…bfe2backed Under55c31.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Under55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.274845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.