NHL · resolved market
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b7b4787b0dc0ac83e4e5f0277ba5e29f01961df57cf1ee27507c1a1f97b95d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Canadiens, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Canadiens | 33c | 5,070$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.8 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Canadiens | 35c | 4,268$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.3 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Sabres | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Sabres | 74c | 2,733$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.34 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Canadiens | 34c | 2,229$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.68 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sabres | 65c | 2,088$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.9 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Canadiens | 36c | 2,075$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.15 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Sabres | 50c | 1,939$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.87 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Canadiens | 3c | 1,749$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…5f84backed Sabres | 64c | 1,719$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Canadiens | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 35c | 1,475$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.93 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Canadiens | 31c | 1,405$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.83 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Sabres | 73c | 1,391$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.52 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 61c | 1,279$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.45 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres | 64c | 1,264$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.05 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens | 35c | 1,164$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.72 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Sabres | 66c | 1,100$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.06 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,040$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.7 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Sabres | 51c | 617.65$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.65 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Canadiens | 36c | 599.96$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.98 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Sabres | 65c | 594.46$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.06 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Canadiens | 36c | 586.03$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.97 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Canadiens | 34c | 523.82$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.1 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Sabres | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Sabres | 64c | 362$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Sabres | 73c | 293.89$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sabres | 74c | 275$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Sabres | 79c | 243.06$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Canadiens | 34c | 241.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Sabres | 65c | 240$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Sabres | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d64…6b35backed Canadiens | 27c | 218.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sabres | 70c | 211.3$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Sabres | 48c | 208.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Sabres | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 236 | 65.7%155 W · 81 L | +15.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Sabres | 64c | 196.4$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Canadiens | 25c | 195$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Canadiens | 45c | 185.55$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Canadiens | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Sabres | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked Canadiens | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Sabres | 74c | 124.05$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Sabres | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Sabres | 64c | 117.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9f…fa1cbacked Sabres | 74c | 117.2$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Canadiens | 17c | 116.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…7980backed Canadiens | 35c | 114.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Sabres | 67c | 110.29$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Sabres | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Canadiens | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Sabres | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Canadiens | 36c | 98.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6a…7155backed Canadiens | 35c | 97.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Sabres | 72c | 94.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sabres | 63c | 87.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Canadiens | 50c | 87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…9817backed Canadiens | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Sabres | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Sabres | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Sabres | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Sabres | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Sabres | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Sabres | 66c | 74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…51d2backed Canadiens | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Canadiens | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Sabres | 57c | 69.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Sabres | 66c | 66.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Canadiens | 37c | 65.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…13c3backed Canadiens | 34c | 64.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Canadiens | 29c | 62.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Sabres | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Sabres | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4f…0ebebacked Canadiens | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x951b…291abacked Canadiens | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Canadiens | 34c | 53.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Sabres | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…758abacked Canadiens | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Sabres | 63c | 47.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Sabres | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.7wins | +0.39per pick | 53cpaid | +72%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Canadiens | 36c | 46.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Canadiens | 36c | 46.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…4db6backed Sabres | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…b94cbacked Sabres | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Sabres | 73c | 45.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Sabres | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Sabres | 64c | 43.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Canadiens | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 719 | 52.4%377 W · 342 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Sabres | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Sabres | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Sabres | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Sabres | 64c | 28.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Sabres | 50c | 25.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Sabres | 50c | 25.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Sabres | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Sabres | 68c | 18.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…aec4backed Sabres | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Sabres | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)this page
- Sabres vs. CanadiensSabres won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.