TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6aa5…7059

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
323
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT17646%81 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 176 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
National Bank Open: Tatjana Maria vs Caty McNallybacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
National Bank Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$13.72
National Bank Open: Renata Zarazua vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.09
Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.32
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+128.4%+$101.2
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNallybacked Yexin Ma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlinbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.93
ITF Hechingen: Tessa Johanna Brockmann vs Sohyun Parkbacked Tessa Johanna Brockmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+77%+$114.03
Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeidabacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.36
Liberec: Hynek Barton vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+169.1%+$154.38
Liberec: Franco Roncadelli vs Norbert Gombosbacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.68
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Naomi Osakabacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.74
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.37
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.6
Samsun: Gabriel Debru vs Florent Baxbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.4
Liberec: Joel Schwaerzler vs Martin Krumichbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+131%+$42.05
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Nicolas Kicker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.47
Los Cabos Open: Michael Zheng vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.52
The Memphis Classic: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Set Handicap: Stearns (-1.5) vs Stoiana (+1.5)backed Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.66
Set Handicap: Zheng (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)backed Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.77
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tienbacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$62.4
Showing 25 of 176 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.58
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.68
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$18.21
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.73
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+86%+$26.8
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$12.62
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.74
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$13.69
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+237.4%+$69.41
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+503.2%+$65.26
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.7
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$26.86
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$13.46
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$36.29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.27
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.36
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+44%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+107.8%+$255.22
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$126.88
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$66.37
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.83
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$20.7
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.12
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$421.95
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$18.75
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.55
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$138.07
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$5.66
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+103.5%+$271.92
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$25.15
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.01
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+335.1%+$1,554.57
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$317.81
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+147.4%+$1,123.4
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.55
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$323.24
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+108%+$161.3
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$83.08
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.15
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.58
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$543.8
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14.66
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.88
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.12
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.05
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$246.42
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.87
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$410.84
Counter-Strike: illwill vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$461.01
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+117.1%+$585.38
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$6.82
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$6.8
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group Cbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$6.09
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffsbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$8.3
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffsbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$14.12
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35.17
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$39.75
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$64.8
LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$25.86
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.75
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.34
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.77
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$19.7
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.46
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$10.89
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+32%+$12.68
LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffsbacked SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.35
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick66cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+214.1%+$21.41
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$28.27
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.95
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.25
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.32
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38%+$7.52
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.44
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85%+$123.91
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$67.42
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$49.97
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.1
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$121.2
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$50.08
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.37per pick60cpaid-59.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Libertybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.3
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$55.48
New York Liberty vs. Seattle Stormbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.35
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.55
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$62.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$313.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.