TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Samsun: Gabriel Debru vs Florent Bax

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gabriel Debruof Gabriel Debru, Florent Bax
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$418,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$456,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8201…8a41backed Gabriel Debru77c74,465$57,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,820.553467.6%23 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Florent Bax23c66,044$15,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,077.928,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf00…1199backed Gabriel Debru74c33,653$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,652.866456.3%36 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Florent Bax27c25,352$6,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,770.539243.4%170 W · 222 L+21.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Florent Bax23c16,454$3,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,738.841,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Gabriel Debru62c15,068$9,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,727.092,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Florent Bax23c13,841$3,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,193.933,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Florent Bax46c10,960$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004431.8%14 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Florent Bax10c6,535$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.711,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d77…164fbacked Florent Bax42c6,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Florent Bax25c5,316$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.7411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Florent Bax29c5,172$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50038557.1%220 W · 165 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Florent Bax44c4,100$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80330339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Gabriel Debru60c3,833$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.336058.3%35 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Florent Bax26c3,740$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.918,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Gabriel Debru64c3,499$2,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.8133551.9%174 W · 161 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Florent Bax16c2,910$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.124,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Gabriel Debru73c2,108$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.613,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Gabriel Debru58c2,005$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.041,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Gabriel Debru57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3912554.4%68 W · 57 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Gabriel Debru65c1,735$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.16,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Gabriel Debru69c1,663$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.475,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Florent Bax27c1,648$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.253562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7787…bf58backed Florent Bax46c1,551$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.514447.2%68 W · 76 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfee…0608backed Florent Bax21c1,433$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+40.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Florent Bax27c1,415$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.1314848.6%72 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Florent Bax31c1,273$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39011435.1%40 W · 74 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Gabriel Debru78c1,228$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.294,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Florent Bax42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2510…7a97backed Florent Bax26c1,090$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.237622.4%17 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Florent Bax29c1,059$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.341,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Florent Bax10c1,054$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4145343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Florent Bax24c899.91$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.9893557.3%536 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc196…2e6bbacked Florent Bax47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012339%48 W · 75 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Florent Bax32c838.35$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.6839446.7%184 W · 210 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Florent Bax48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40041645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Florent Bax24c787.19$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8433855%186 W · 152 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56e9…79c6backed Florent Bax38c750.76$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.296041.7%25 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Florent Bax27c745.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048331.1%150 W · 333 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Florent Bax17c652.85$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.832329.7%96 W · 227 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Florent Bax29c646.5$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.4748842%205 W · 283 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d8…4cf8backed Florent Bax41c646$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.861540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Florent Bax18c619.54$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.552,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Florent Bax46c599.99$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.037,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Florent Bax12c596.97$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Gabriel Debru71c596.96$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.772,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef1b…764fbacked Florent Bax27c580.52$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.298338.6%32 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Gabriel Debru59c564.73$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.542,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aa5…7059backed Florent Bax27c506.68$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.417646%81 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Florent Bax41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20531237.8%118 W · 194 L-24.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Florent Bax38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b46…ed0dbacked Florent Bax8c499.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032452.5%170 W · 154 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Florent Bax40c499.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7722123.1%51 W · 170 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Florent Bax18c493.35$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.096,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Gabriel Debru78c484.36$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.0470537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Florent Bax42c473.05$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.681,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Florent Bax19c469.83$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030647.7%146 W · 160 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Gabriel Debru75c459.49$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.768,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb74c…f4f1backed Florent Bax22c455.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015844.9%71 W · 87 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d26…ca0ebacked Gabriel Debru58c439.91$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.8119251%98 W · 94 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Florent Bax43c428.06$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.061,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Gabriel Debru72c422.83$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.051,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed Florent Bax43c383.72$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16518731%58 W · 129 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Florent Bax35c378.1$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4351457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Florent Bax38c375$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.146957.6%270 W · 199 L+32.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1433…af79backed Florent Bax14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked Florent Bax45c345.58$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.516759.7%40 W · 27 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Florent Bax18c338.89$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6157950.9%295 W · 284 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Gabriel Debru74c336.46$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9433165%215 W · 116 L+22.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Gabriel Debru55c335.63$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.474,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Florent Bax38c326$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8853657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked Florent Bax38c322$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3631855.7%177 W · 141 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Gabriel Debru78c320.5$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5111372.6%82 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Florent Bax38c319$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2244552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Florent Bax32c317.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Gabriel Debru79c314.66$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6620452.5%107 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8888…3d5cbacked Florent Bax38c312$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6630353.5%162 W · 141 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Florent Bax21c309$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.265,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Florent Bax38c307$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6643054.9%236 W · 194 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7544…e3aebacked Gabriel Debru62c299.93$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9718246.7%85 W · 97 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf051…acd4backed Florent Bax17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507851.3%40 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Gabriel Debru74c283.78$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.74,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbab2…9decbacked Florent Bax38c280$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.429151.9%151 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Florent Bax38c273.05$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7636154%195 W · 166 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3679…492ebacked Florent Bax38c271.05$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9929554.6%161 W · 134 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Florent Bax22c267.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.821,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Gabriel Debru75c262.82$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.432,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Gabriel Debru80c256$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5952355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Florent Bax38c251$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3844758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Florent Bax13c250$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.515657.1%89 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3208…07a7backed Florent Bax11c250$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0f…ddd3backed Florent Bax24c247.18$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3210437.5%39 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Florent Bax23c235.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.642,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Florent Bax44c228.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027949.1%137 W · 142 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6e4…68bebacked Florent Bax22c216.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6613636.8%50 W · 86 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1270…a494backed Gabriel Debru76c216.45$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.07837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb032…fd99backed Gabriel Debru57c207.02$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.024551.1%23 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd85a…9143backed Florent Bax25c206.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.411838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07c3…50ffbacked Gabriel Debru63c203.76$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.392147.6%10 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Gabriel Debru57c200.05$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1822346.6%104 W · 119 L+15.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.