Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ff1235bf1c83dd56e45d4b5a9798eb76c61fe4a0d0f25802a0795a182bb8d2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fabian Marozsanof Shintaro Mochizuki, Fabian Marozsan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 23c | 9,569$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.96 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 26c | 6,319$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.98 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fabian Marozsan | 63c | 5,476$3,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.04 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…7e2ebacked Fabian Marozsan | 74c | 4,915$3,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.99 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 3,900$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Fabian Marozsan | 62c | 3,216$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.08 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 56c | 3,111$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.49 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 14c | 2,412$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.57 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 36c | 2,242$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.12 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Fabian Marozsan | 61c | 1,665$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.68 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fabian Marozsan | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Fabian Marozsan | 64c | 1,442$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.16 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Fabian Marozsan | 62c | 1,173$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.93 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 6c | 1,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc48a…c6c4backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 15c | 999.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 18c | 939.87$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.61 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 36c | 915.81$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.76 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…3facbacked Fabian Marozsan | 73c | 900.11$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.03 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Fabian Marozsan | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…2b5dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 36c | 602.74$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.42 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 31c | 575.78$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…4917backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 36c | 546$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 525$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.3 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedde…5db2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 19c | 501.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 19c | 477.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Fabian Marozsan | 65c | 474.31$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.78 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb292…40c2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 382.82$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…30f2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 19c | 363.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 5c | 326.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 36c | 318.66$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Fabian Marozsan | 65c | 303$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Fabian Marozsan | 69c | 288.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 20c | 282.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c5…2642backed Fabian Marozsan | 63c | 274.6$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Fabian Marozsan | 70c | 268.34$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Fabian Marozsan | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d47…912abacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 236.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 233.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…9450backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 31c | 200.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Fabian Marozsan | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Fabian Marozsan | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 25c | 182.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Fabian Marozsan | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Fabian Marozsan | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…c129backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 28c | 152.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Fabian Marozsan | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 49c | 148$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 41c | 138$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Fabian Marozsan | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Fabian Marozsan | 62c | 117$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 111.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…69ddbacked Fabian Marozsan | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Fabian Marozsan | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Fabian Marozsan | 64c | 100.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 46c | 98.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Fabian Marozsan | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 42c | 93.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 35c | 90.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 35c | 88.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 45c | 88.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Fabian Marozsan | 62c | 86.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 37c | 86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 21c | 85.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 34c | 85.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Fabian Marozsan | 64c | 81.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 70.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Fabian Marozsan | 63c | 64.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Fabian Marozsan | 76c | 57.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Fabian Marozsan | 59c | 57.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 34c | 52.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 259 | 51.7%134 W · 125 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Fabian Marozsan | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fabian Marozsan | 68c | 49.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Fabian Marozsan | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 343 | 59.5%204 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 58c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 37c | 44.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 43.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 25c | 42.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 478 | 57.9%277 W · 201 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 37c | 41.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…0af9backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…e104backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 31c | 37.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…7059backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…12e6backed Fabian Marozsan | 53c | 33.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 36c | 32.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…cd21backed Fabian Marozsan | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 550 | 59.1%325 W · 225 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsanthis page
- Set Handicap: Marozsan (-1.5) vs Mochizuki (+1.5)Marozsan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.