Tennis · resolved market
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNally
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x016fee6777170d2194e88b3eaea357da7e5534a4ef70f163236bdf5594e5aca8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Caty McNallyof Yexin Ma, Caty McNally
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3663…8950backed Yexin Ma | 16c | 32,206$5,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,260.69 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Yexin Ma | 13c | 31,428$4,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,085.62 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Yexin Ma | 4c | 5,000$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.74 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Yexin Ma | 17c | 4,217$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.97 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed Yexin Ma | 21c | 4,053$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.8 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yexin Ma | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Yexin Ma | 23c | 2,718$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.18 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Yexin Ma | 4c | 2,088$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Yexin Ma | 5c | 1,945$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Yexin Ma | 18c | 1,681$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.05 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Yexin Ma | 1c | 1,601$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…8944backed Yexin Ma | 8c | 1,421$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yexin Ma | 9c | 1,313$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Yexin Ma | 4c | 1,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Yexin Ma | 21c | 1,162$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.93 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yexin Ma | 14c | 1,012$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Yexin Ma | 18c | 965.47$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.44 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…6e6fbacked Yexin Ma | 15c | 769.81$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Yexin Ma | 17c | 767.26$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.98 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yexin Ma | 7c | 676.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yexin Ma | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…2f02backed Yexin Ma | 14c | 510$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b96…cea8backed Yexin Ma | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…e21ebacked Yexin Ma | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Yexin Ma | 21c | 309.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca1…9d25backed Yexin Ma | 17c | 252.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83bd…3f07backed Yexin Ma | 21c | 227.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yexin Ma | 14c | 172$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yexin Ma | 14c | 167$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5429…83c2backed Yexin Ma | 18c | 162.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 201 | 28.4%57 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Yexin Ma | 18c | 161.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 187 | 31%58 W · 129 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Yexin Ma | 13c | 149.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…030bbacked Caty McNally | 78c | 139.32$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 107 | 64.5%69 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yexin Ma | 14c | 137.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd6…2334backed Yexin Ma | 15c | 130.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Yexin Ma | 13c | 78.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -21.0wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Yexin Ma | 14c | 73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 284 | 42.3%120 W · 164 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…7059backed Yexin Ma | 16c | 70.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Caty McNally | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNallythis page
- Set 1 Winner: Ma vs McNallyMcNally won
- Set 2 Winner: Ma vs McNallyMcNally won
- Set Handicap: McNally (-1.5) vs Ma (+1.5)McNally won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.