TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95f1…6e6f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
134
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT11338.9%44 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Hagen: Henri Squire vs Alex Barrenabacked Alex Barrena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.8
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Viktor Durasovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Amit Vales vs Daniil Glinkabacked Amit Vales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.87
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$60.96
National Bank Open: Clara Tauson vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.65
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaurbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.84
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$54
National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Moyuka Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+300%+$290.15
National Bank Open: Shuai Zhang vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$73.59
National Bank Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$44.96
Lexington: Moez Echargui vs Spencer Johnsonbacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
National Bank Open: Rebecca Sramkova vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Rebecca Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Katherine Sebovbacked Katherine Sebov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.42
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jiri Cizekbacked Jiri Cizek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$163
Plovdiv 2: Franco Ribero vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Franco Ribero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Filip Peliwo vs Ivan Marrerobacked Filip Peliwo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Istanbul 2: Gijs Brouwer vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Gijs Brouwer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+151.4%+$194.38
Plovdiv 2: Daniel Galan vs Georgi Georgievbacked Georgi Georgiev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.27
National Bank Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ariana Arseneaultbacked Ariana Arseneault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
The Memphis Classic: Tatiana Prozorova vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Tatiana Prozorova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.52
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frechbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.47
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNallybacked Yexin Ma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.12
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-62.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.55
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.38
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.9
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.85
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.48
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$335
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.79
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$614.29
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.14
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.