Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x145685a073aa06cd5326a0a0c1261b6a95f5a529e6934ed8ae7f3372bceb034a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aryna Sabalenkaof Aryna Sabalenka, Moyuka Uchijima
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $391,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $435,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Moyuka Uchijima | 4c | 68,986$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.39 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Moyuka Uchijima | 14c | 40,025$5,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,592.55 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Moyuka Uchijima | 6c | 15,393$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.61 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 6c | 11,824$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.45 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Moyuka Uchijima | 4c | 10,937$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.48 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 5c | 9,278$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.88 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Moyuka Uchijima | 4c | 8,397$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…9524backed Moyuka Uchijima | 0c | 6,783$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Moyuka Uchijima | 4c | 4,683$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.32 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Moyuka Uchijima | 5c | 4,287$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.82 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Moyuka Uchijima | 6c | 3,965$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.39 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 14c | 1,953$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.4 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Moyuka Uchijima | 4c | 1,924$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…f7c4backed Moyuka Uchijima | 16c | 1,688$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Moyuka Uchijima | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Moyuka Uchijima | 5c | 1,607$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Moyuka Uchijima | 6c | 1,486$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 5c | 1,352$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…6e6fbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Moyuka Uchijima | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.89 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Moyuka Uchijima | 4c | 956.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 4c | 873.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Moyuka Uchijima | 5c | 865.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 5c | 823.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Moyuka Uchijima | 5c | 808.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Moyuka Uchijima | 5c | 709.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 5c | 702$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Moyuka Uchijima | 5c | 629.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Moyuka Uchijima | 5c | 615$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Moyuka Uchijima | 4c | 474.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Moyuka Uchijima | 5c | 449.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 17c | 429.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed Moyuka Uchijima | 5c | 425.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd490…a6d7backed Moyuka Uchijima | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Moyuka Uchijima | 6c | 370.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Moyuka Uchijima | 5c | 355.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Moyuka Uchijima | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Moyuka Uchijima | 15c | 333.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…667dbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 68.8%161 W · 73 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Moyuka Uchijima | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 31%58 W · 129 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c1…4bddbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Moyuka Uchijima | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 225 | 40.4%91 W · 134 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…30f2backed Moyuka Uchijima | 4c | 291.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…3b16backed Moyuka Uchijima | 8c | 264.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…06dbbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Moyuka Uchijima | 4c | 244.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Moyuka Uchijima | 6c | 232.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Moyuka Uchijima | 6c | 219.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…7c1ebacked Moyuka Uchijima | 5c | 200.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Moyuka Uchijima | 11c | 195.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Moyuka Uchijima | 15c | 189.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34d…9816backed Moyuka Uchijima | 11c | 189.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijimathis page
- Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Uchijima (+1.5)Sabalenka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.