TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfdc0…667d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
350
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT23468.8%161 W · 73 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 234 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.53
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
US Open, Qualification ATP: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.06
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$34.84
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.62
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyukbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$80.59
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.19
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullainbacked Lucas Poullain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Prague 2: Norbert Gombos vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Quebec City: Jacob Fearnley vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$41.62
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$127.36
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cancun: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Francisco Comesanabacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Cincinnati Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$11.16
Quebec City: Francesco Maestrelli vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.58
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$164.64
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$29.17
Sion: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Juan Estevezbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Showing 25 of 234 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT7841%32 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+131.4%+$310.59
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+155.4%+$323.18
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.92
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$140.87
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.19
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$183.87
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.44
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.22
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+130.4%+$70.99
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.2
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.74
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$27.39
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$69.89
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.22
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.64
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.05
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$256.97
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$71.77
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.77
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.56
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$57.46
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.31
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.29
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.23
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Skybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$29.91
Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$27.27
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58%+$70.17
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$115.03
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.89
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$32.26
Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Skybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$30.61
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.8
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$59.05
New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31%+$18.61
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$7.2
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.26
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.03
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$114.22
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempobacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$24.2
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.96
Connecticut Sun vs. Portland Firebacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$69.04
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.