WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3de877d0fcc9bd4b6efbbe601cba0dd1e9a546cd218c64c60b12f7cc3a89e4df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Connecticut Sun, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Connecticut Sun | 14c | 14,755$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb6…8e13backed Connecticut Sun | 0c | 13,760$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 9,878$5,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.31 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 8,522$4,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,081.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 68c | 6,959$4,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.17 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 5,839$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.99 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 4,234$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.25 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Connecticut Sun | 2c | 3,513$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 73c | 2,161$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.22 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Connecticut Sun | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 1,699$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.77 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Connecticut Sun | 55c | 1,513$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.74 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Connecticut Sun | 16c | 1,504$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.18 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Connecticut Sun | 3c | 1,249$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Seattle Storm | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.99 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 1,191$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.82 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 1,175$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.73 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 1,144$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Seattle Storm | 71c | 1,056$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.34 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Connecticut Sun | 45c | 1,037$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.78 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 953.36$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.52 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Connecticut Sun | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Seattle Storm | 42c | 904$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.08 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Connecticut Sun | 44c | 850$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.9 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Storm | 72c | 780.25$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.26 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 600.33$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.06 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 571.39$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.46 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Connecticut Sun | 42c | 517.09$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.76 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Seattle Storm | 61c | 501.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.78 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Connecticut Sun | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6858…7d47backed Seattle Storm | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.34 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 495.6$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.88 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Connecticut Sun | 57c | 444$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.08 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 393.49$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.87 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Connecticut Sun | 23c | 366.8$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Connecticut Sun | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Connecticut Sun | 43c | 309.72$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.91 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 300.02$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 287.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 269.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.02 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Connecticut Sun | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 231.61$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Connecticut Sun | 18c | 223.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Connecticut Sun | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Connecticut Sun | 25c | 197.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Seattle Storm | 76c | 186.75$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Seattle Storm | 60c | 171.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Connecticut Sun | 60c | 164.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 159$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…f9f1backed Seattle Storm | 72c | 138.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Connecticut Sun | 17c | 138$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…0a90backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 137.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 135.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 118$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Seattle Storm | 56c | 108.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Connecticut Sun | 41c | 106.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Connecticut Sun | 44c | 104.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Storm | 59c | 104.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 104.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 100.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Connecticut Sun | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Connecticut Sun | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Connecticut Sun | 60c | 99.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Seattle Storm | 45c | 96.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…b67bbacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 91.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Connecticut Sun | 36c | 78.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 77.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 70.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Seattle Storm | 56c | 70.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Connecticut Sun | 34c | 64.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a63…ceabbacked Seattle Storm | 58c | 63.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…d618backed Seattle Storm | 60c | 57.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 56.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Seattle Storm | 80c | 50.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…e77bbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 45.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Connecticut Sun | 42c | 45.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Connecticut Sun | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…742dbacked Seattle Storm | 55c | 43.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…14b1backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 43.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 41.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Connecticut Sun | 58c | 39.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 38.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 37.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0870…1a0dbacked Connecticut Sun | 40c | 37.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Connecticut Sun | 41c | 37.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Connecticut Sun | 60c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Stormthis page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 164.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 165.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 166.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-1.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-2.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-3.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.