TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Aaron Picoof Patricio Pitbull, Aaron Pico
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$539,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$602,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $539,792 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 460 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Aaron Pico69c99,639$69,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,391.713452.2%70 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Patricio Pitbull30c71,901$21,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,551.1719154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e2f…aaf8backed Patricio Pitbull31c31,858$9,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,876.11837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Aaron Pico61c25,092$15,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,800.68977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+71.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Aaron Pico70c23,782$16,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,135.447656.6%43 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Patricio Pitbull25c20,519$5,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,093.6133132%106 W · 225 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Patricio Pitbull0c18,805$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.551154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Aaron Pico72c18,222$13,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,154.311657.8%67 W · 49 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Patricio Pitbull16c16,185$2,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,628.9115939.6%63 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Patricio Pitbull39c15,000$5,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,850933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Patricio Pitbull29c15,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30028043.2%121 W · 159 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd22…ad91backed Patricio Pitbull31c14,941$4,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,631.521752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Aaron Pico69c12,695$8,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,974.4626743.8%117 W · 150 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Patricio Pitbull27c11,117$2,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,968.22948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Aaron Pico68c10,623$7,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,354.814558.6%85 W · 60 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Patricio Pitbull30c9,671$2,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,911.353956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf92a…99acbacked Patricio Pitbull30c9,608$2,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,882.432236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Patricio Pitbull30c8,636$2,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,590.8435253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Aaron Pico70c7,014$4,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.293458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8982…59fbbacked Aaron Pico70c7,014$4,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.296055%33 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fcb…f91abacked Aaron Pico73c6,411$4,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.123246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Patricio Pitbull31c6,172$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.372733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Patricio Pitbull30c6,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80012052.5%63 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Patricio Pitbull32c5,995$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc30a…7eb3backed Patricio Pitbull32c5,944$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.73933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Patricio Pitbull29c5,594$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.688851.1%45 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Patricio Pitbull35c4,625$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.273534.3%12 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3105…1493backed Patricio Pitbull6c4,158$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Patricio Pitbull31c4,063$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.68058.8%47 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Aaron Pico68c4,044$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.0714551%74 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Aaron Pico69c3,467$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.9130964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Patricio Pitbull23c3,133$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.4815933.3%53 W · 106 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f22…6482backed Aaron Pico72c3,118$2,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.659756.7%55 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Patricio Pitbull31c2,961$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.7635826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Patricio Pitbull31c2,876$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.510041%41 W · 59 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Aaron Pico70c2,806$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.714447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d8d…9fb0backed Patricio Pitbull1c2,586$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.732128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Patricio Pitbull17c2,318$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.9120139.8%80 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Aaron Pico68c2,138$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.3310949.5%54 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Aaron Pico71c2,132$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.235156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Aaron Pico62c2,000$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7644240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Aaron Pico73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5406246.8%29 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Aaron Pico70c1,964$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.225251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…4652backed Aaron Pico70c1,964$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.26354%34 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Aaron Pico71c1,795$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.552748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94fd…7fefbacked Patricio Pitbull7c1,783$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.331127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Patricio Pitbull30c1,777$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.13852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Aaron Pico70c1,559$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.579164.8%59 W · 32 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Patricio Pitbull15c1,542$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.68955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Patricio Pitbull32c1,485$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.163246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Aaron Pico67c1,442$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.761566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Aaron Pico69c1,422$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.924981.6%40 W · 9 L+10.4wins+0.21per pick60cpaid+43.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Aaron Pico71c1,394$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.7411761.5%72 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Aaron Pico70c1,306$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.821136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Patricio Pitbull28c1,286$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.422438.4%86 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aab…9ae0backed Patricio Pitbull32c1,199$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.685752.6%30 W · 27 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Aaron Pico70c1,190$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.892556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd594…98c4backed Aaron Pico70c1,178$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.528851.1%45 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Patricio Pitbull31c1,115$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.942850%14 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Patricio Pitbull30c1,089$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.21050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b89…0d9cbacked Patricio Pitbull32c1,084$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Aaron Pico70c1,074$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.33977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Aaron Pico70c1,033$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Aaron Pico69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.558461.9%52 W · 32 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Aaron Pico68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3204100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Patricio Pitbull30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008751.7%45 W · 42 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Aaron Pico68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Patricio Pitbull28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2808835.2%31 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Aaron Pico70c997.67$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.322661.9%140 W · 86 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…ca73backed Aaron Pico69c995.62$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.64560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Aaron Pico72c994.93$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.468754%47 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Aaron Pico70c991.82$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.554845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd63…cf21backed Patricio Pitbull32c959.2$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Patricio Pitbull32c951.84$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.0711332.7%37 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Patricio Pitbull42c929.98$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.213435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0094…c496backed Patricio Pitbull32c906.9$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.716532.3%21 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36ed…4a93backed Aaron Pico72c899.95$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.995052%26 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x567d…68bfbacked Patricio Pitbull32c899.25$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.761250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Aaron Pico70c883.8$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1413041.5%54 W · 76 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Aaron Pico69c855.44$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6529848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8d8…1496backed Aaron Pico70c846.41$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.35560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Aaron Pico67c844.12$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.6331855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Patricio Pitbull33c842$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4418032.8%59 W · 121 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Patricio Pitbull31c834.91$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.821735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8ee7…6760backed Patricio Pitbull25c820.06$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.017343.8%32 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Aaron Pico70c813.41$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.7610664.2%68 W · 38 L+13.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+28.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb64a…e66abacked Patricio Pitbull30c804.43$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.471030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7358…1d32backed Aaron Pico69c711.38$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.697647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Aaron Pico69c711.16$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.463647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Aaron Pico70c700.03$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.011172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb73…1e52backed Aaron Pico69c694.9$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.959452.1%49 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Aaron Pico71c694.9$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9537754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Patricio Pitbull33c694.16$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6152252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x900e…104dbacked Aaron Pico70c673.37$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.012646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Patricio Pitbull31c650.27$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7835848.3%173 W · 185 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed99…2677backed Aaron Pico70c640.9$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.275461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff3…d376backed Patricio Pitbull31c618.45$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.726448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Aaron Pico67c599.99$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf89…9492backed Patricio Pitbull31c596.81$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.011060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e2b…97b2backed Patricio Pitbull30c587.58$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.157745.5%35 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.