TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lucas Poullainof Michael Geerts, Lucas Poullain
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26b4…b8a9backed Lucas Poullain60c11,413$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,612.9835244.6%157 W · 195 L-20.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Michael Geerts47c8,000$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,76015348.4%74 W · 79 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Michael Geerts30c7,722$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30041131.9%131 W · 280 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Michael Geerts44c5,601$2,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,436.98,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Lucas Poullain53c4,580$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,151.273,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Michael Geerts32c3,105$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.2911,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Michael Geerts43c2,602$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.0213647.8%65 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Michael Geerts30c2,539$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.361,31843.6%574 W · 744 L-23.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Lucas Poullain43c2,273$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.3629840.9%122 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Lucas Poullain68c2,195$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.332353.6%173 W · 150 L+20.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Lucas Poullain36c2,028$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.14,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Lucas Poullain60c1,984$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.612,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Michael Geerts35c1,981$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.581,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Lucas Poullain49c1,855$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.736,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ba4…f918backed Michael Geerts2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010931.2%34 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Lucas Poullain53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7059844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Lucas Poullain44c1,460$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.934,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f38…2ab9backed Michael Geerts24c1,252$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.58119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick42cpaid-78.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1407…e56cbacked Michael Geerts2c1,200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245332.1%17 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Michael Geerts44c1,193$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.0573738.8%286 W · 451 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…8d12backed Lucas Poullain72c1,112$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.74650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Michael Geerts44c1,097$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.331,25238.8%486 W · 766 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Michael Geerts62c1,089$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6701,02049.9%509 W · 511 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Michael Geerts39c1,063$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.6815141.7%63 W · 88 L-12.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Michael Geerts39c1,024$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.098,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Michael Geerts30c1,003$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.324,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Lucas Poullain60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.1145251.5%233 W · 219 L-21.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Michael Geerts24c952.37$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.572454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Michael Geerts46c913.09$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.0213943.9%61 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b87…dffdbacked Lucas Poullain73c896.73$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.631050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Michael Geerts51c878.16$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.6534145.2%154 W · 187 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Michael Geerts46c873.32$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.6434047.6%162 W · 178 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Lucas Poullain65c836.26$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.25,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Lucas Poullain72c772.6$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.783,63154.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L+110.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Michael Geerts68c741.44$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.189466%62 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd212…1248backed Michael Geerts68c740$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.21560%9 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Michael Geerts24c668.67$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4871329.7%212 W · 501 L-39.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc144…c809backed Lucas Poullain65c651.24$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9310730.8%33 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Michael Geerts39c613.04$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.886,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Lucas Poullain50c595.53$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.194,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9a…8a4cbacked Lucas Poullain18c551.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.282045%9 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+88.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Lucas Poullain54c549.19$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.741,63848.2%789 W · 849 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd215…757abacked Lucas Poullain56c531.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.6228554.7%156 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Michael Geerts25c520$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13035545.4%161 W · 194 L+1.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Michael Geerts38c503.43$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.511,54551.5%795 W · 750 L+5.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Michael Geerts36c500$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.569,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Michael Geerts31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15547328.3%134 W · 339 L+19.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Michael Geerts35c489.61$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701,56340%625 W · 938 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Michael Geerts50c482.59$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.0987450.6%442 W · 432 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd058…d8fcbacked Lucas Poullain74c430.85$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.383554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce13…46fcbacked Lucas Poullain34c429.52$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+57%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Lucas Poullain56c428.57$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.5744056.1%247 W · 193 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd058…f4d3backed Lucas Poullain61c413.11$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.11955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Lucas Poullain72c395$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.62055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Michael Geerts72c385.34$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.136,41154.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L+283.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Michael Geerts29c359.41$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10418741.2%77 W · 110 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Michael Geerts7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2574712.2%91 W · 656 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf65e…e5e6backed Lucas Poullain29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.835660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Lucas Poullain62c341.49$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.262,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1680…490dbacked Michael Geerts45c339.29$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b34…a646backed Michael Geerts34c292.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Michael Geerts45c292.57$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.651,69248.8%826 W · 866 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Lucas Poullain62c276.39$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.684,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Lucas Poullain62c272.58$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.581,07360.4%648 W · 425 L+24.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Michael Geerts45c271.84$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.176,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4de…7eccbacked Lucas Poullain27c266.25$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.258326.5%22 W · 61 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Lucas Poullain55c256$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.295455.5%529 W · 425 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Michael Geerts34c244$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9648231.1%150 W · 332 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Lucas Poullain65c241.07$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.186,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Michael Geerts44c238.88$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.981,00154.9%550 W · 451 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Lucas Poullain59c235.58$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.591,77348.6%861 W · 912 L+28.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Lucas Poullain63c235.25$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.671,01336.5%370 W · 643 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Lucas Poullain54c229.97$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.871,95843.7%856 W · 1,102 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecc5…5fdebacked Michael Geerts44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022442.9%96 W · 128 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Michael Geerts53c224.23$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0422150.7%112 W · 109 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Lucas Poullain52c223.52$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4264753.9%349 W · 298 L+32.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Lucas Poullain58c216.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.190454.4%492 W · 412 L+3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lucas Poullain56c208.47$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.218,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0947…a830backed Lucas Poullain32c203.13$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1311024.5%27 W · 83 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Lucas Poullain50c198$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.421,80258.9%1,062 W · 740 L+5.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Lucas Poullain48c182.03$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.62,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd2…9014backed Lucas Poullain55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8210954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Michael Geerts44c179.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.841,84244.6%822 W · 1,020 L-15.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Michael Geerts30c179.7$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.331,37716.3%224 W · 1,153 L-109.7wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Lucas Poullain56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5744359.8%265 W · 178 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd928…705fbacked Michael Geerts27c171.57$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8727852.5%146 W · 132 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Lucas Poullain54c169.17$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8229643.6%129 W · 167 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Michael Geerts24c167.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.236254.8%34 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Lucas Poullain30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6713822.5%31 W · 107 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Michael Geerts72c166.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9717659.1%104 W · 72 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x604e…2cb1backed Michael Geerts10c150.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0410425%26 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Michael Geerts43c148$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6429932.8%98 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Michael Geerts46c147.06$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.146,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5056…fbb3backed Michael Geerts24c145.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356838.2%26 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Michael Geerts32c142.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.473,41239.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L-11.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Michael Geerts40c140$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5667745.6%309 W · 368 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Michael Geerts46c138.56$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7420239.6%80 W · 122 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Michael Geerts36c137.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.891,37144.5%610 W · 761 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Michael Geerts44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027943.4%121 W · 158 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2516…51edbacked Lucas Poullain74c132.22$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4715374.5%114 W · 39 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.