TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe4de…7ecc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Cricket, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT8326.5%22 W · 61 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Sloane Stephensbacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Winston-Salem Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Winston-Salem Open: Roman Safiullin vs Hugo Grenierbacked Hugo Grenier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$155.6
US Open, Qualification WTA: Carson Branstine vs Clervie Ngounouebacked Clervie Ngounoue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
US Open, Qualification WTA: Angela Fita Boluda vs Lin Zhubacked Angela Fita Boluda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$86.46
US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men: Nicola Senn vs Victor Barreira Bonzombacked Victor Barreira Bonzom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$62.66
ITF W15 Campos do Jordão 2 Women: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Bohrer Martinsbacked Luiza Fullana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
ITF M15 Lambermont Men: Jack Loge vs Romain Fauconbacked Romain Faucon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$41.67
ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Tim Handel vs Arthur Nagelbacked Tim Handel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
ITF M25 Lesa Men: Denis Constantin Spiridon vs Laurent Lokolibacked Denis Constantin Spiridon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Tristan McCormick vs Goncalo Marquesbacked Tristan McCormick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.75
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Luna Vujovic vs Samira De Stefanobacked Luna Vujovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+400%+$81.73
Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayotbacked Harold Mayot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.75
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullainbacked Lucas Poullain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+264.7%+$193.25
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Charles Broombacked Charles Broom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Berta Passola vs Valentini Grammatikopouloubacked Valentini Grammatikopoulou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.51
ITF M25 Taipei Men: Noritaka Koizumi vs Kuan-Yi Leebacked Kuan-Yi Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Cincinnati Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Mees Rottgering · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.24
National Bank Open, Qualification: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+67.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Major League Cricket: Seattle Orcas vs Texas Super Kingsbacked Seattle Orcas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+235.1%+$45.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.