Tennis · resolved market
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Luna Vujovic vs Samira De Stefano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d07d44fae2ca8209dc09a04189a97b721cee347db6597f5f26420b71e93ed0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luna Vujovicof Luna Vujovic, Samira De Stefano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luna Vujovic | 71c | 2,071$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.97 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samira De Stefano | 25c | 1,657$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.25 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samira De Stefano | 20c | 1,343$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.16 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…d5c4backed Luna Vujovic | 61c | 905.39$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.1 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Samira De Stefano | 39c | 742.39$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.53 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Samira De Stefano | 41c | 488.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Luna Vujovic | 59c | 469.09$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.33 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Samira De Stefano | 57c | 391.55$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Samira De Stefano | 70c | 362.18$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.18 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Samira De Stefano | 40c | 273.4$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.27 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Luna Vujovic | 28c | 211.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Samira De Stefano | 44c | 178.46$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Samira De Stefano | 47c | 151$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…d394backed Samira De Stefano | 52c | 129.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Samira De Stefano | 79c | 126$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Samira De Stefano | 23c | 107.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…7eccbacked Luna Vujovic | 20c | 102.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed Samira De Stefano | 17c | 81.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Samira De Stefano | 69c | 72.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Samira De Stefano | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Luna Vujovic | 73c | 32.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed Samira De Stefano | 63c | 30.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed Samira De Stefano | 76c | 28.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…865bbacked Samira De Stefano | 74c | 26.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Luna Vujovic | 45c | 24.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 433 | 36.7%159 W · 274 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Luna Vujovic | 75c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Luna Vujovic | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.