TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Tristan McCormick vs Goncalo Marques

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Goncalo Marquesof Tristan McCormick, Goncalo Marques
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,771
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,771 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3663…8950backed Goncalo Marques47c9,690$4,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,134.9839043.6%170 W · 220 L+21.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51c9…e4a8backed Tristan McCormick52c7,738$4,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,016.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tristan McCormick49c3,960$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.368,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Goncalo Marques54c3,231$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.9135244.6%157 W · 195 L-20.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Goncalo Marques50c2,966$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.8380558.6%472 W · 333 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Tristan McCormick6c2,242$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5773738.8%286 W · 451 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Tristan McCormick50c2,193$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10037557.6%216 W · 159 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Goncalo Marques56c1,080$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.0822150.7%112 W · 109 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c99…8b23backed Tristan McCormick60c828.59$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8db8backed Tristan McCormick28c758.82$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.473619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Goncalo Marques70c677.62$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.621,07360.4%648 W · 425 L+24.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Goncalo Marques42c659.17$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.324,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Tristan McCormick53c417$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.014,58448.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L+35.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8546…35b8backed Tristan McCormick65c377.84$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5720660.2%124 W · 82 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Tristan McCormick45c371.14$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.161,54551.5%795 W · 750 L+5.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Tristan McCormick40c364.27$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.451,77348.6%861 W · 912 L+28.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4de…7eccbacked Tristan McCormick30c329.17$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.758326.5%22 W · 61 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Tristan McCormick15c301.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.173,41239.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L-11.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Tristan McCormick15c250.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.522,14237.3%799 W · 1,343 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfcd…e73fbacked Tristan McCormick48c249.52$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5510140.6%41 W · 60 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7544…e3aebacked Goncalo Marques54c233.15$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7418246.7%85 W · 97 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Goncalo Marques50c210.89$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0211,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Tristan McCormick38c210.7$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1187450.6%442 W · 432 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Goncalo Marques50c207.77$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.893,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Tristan McCormick40c205.5$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.224052.5%126 W · 114 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Tristan McCormick39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7834047.6%162 W · 178 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Tristan McCormick47c185.11$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8748555.9%271 W · 214 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ad1…b4c5backed Goncalo Marques50c180.16$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.568164.2%52 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Tristan McCormick45c179.4$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.321,62454.4%883 W · 741 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Tristan McCormick56c173.06$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.644637%17 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Tristan McCormick57c172.75$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8327256.3%153 W · 119 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Tristan McCormick52c168.08$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.845,37748.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tristan McCormick43c156.06$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.846,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Tristan McCormick50c143.24$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.584,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Tristan McCormick40c130.05$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.231,25238.8%486 W · 766 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed Tristan McCormick40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038051.6%196 W · 184 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed Tristan McCormick40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027357.9%158 W · 115 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed Tristan McCormick43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012650%63 W · 63 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Tristan McCormick43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,57546.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L+15.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d7…2485backed Tristan McCormick64c114.48$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.239158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Tristan McCormick40c114.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.633,20440.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Goncalo Marques60c112.4$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2437959.1%224 W · 155 L+26.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa52…865bbacked Goncalo Marques73c108.32$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.354566.7%30 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf3b…9035backed Tristan McCormick48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030355.8%169 W · 134 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Goncalo Marques54c101.42$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.546,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Goncalo Marques51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Tristan McCormick50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039444.4%175 W · 219 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tristan McCormick50c93.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.27,74550.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L+93.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Goncalo Marques47c93.22$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0536260.5%219 W · 143 L+27.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b6c…5679backed Tristan McCormick69c91.83$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.363759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e61…2f1bbacked Tristan McCormick40c86.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.529148.5%141 W · 150 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Tristan McCormick44c80.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.353,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Goncalo Marques70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.437159.6%221 W · 150 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Tristan McCormick40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3091354.9%501 W · 412 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b36ebacked Tristan McCormick35c72.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.450746.5%236 W · 271 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Tristan McCormick43c68.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.234,41151.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L+137.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Goncalo Marques50c68.3$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.98,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf17a…b0b7backed Goncalo Marques79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4410677.4%82 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec17…0af9backed Goncalo Marques47c62.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2712639.7%50 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b3…e104backed Goncalo Marques48c61.26$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8311837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Goncalo Marques57c60.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8938359.8%229 W · 154 L+24.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Goncalo Marques40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3693258.5%545 W · 387 L+22.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Goncalo Marques63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.243558.9%256 W · 179 L+23.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Tristan McCormick40c48.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5212061.7%74 W · 46 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Tristan McCormick44c45.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032536.9%120 W · 205 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Tristan McCormick36c42.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.587634.5%302 W · 574 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Tristan McCormick37c41.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5489263.8%569 W · 323 L+62.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Tristan McCormick42c39.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8534658.1%201 W · 145 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca1…fc25backed Tristan McCormick50c39.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.739052.2%47 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Tristan McCormick53c36.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3639260.5%237 W · 155 L-1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe37…33bebacked Goncalo Marques56c36.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.142864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Tristan McCormick37c36.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4557645.7%263 W · 313 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Goncalo Marques70c35.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8315760.5%95 W · 62 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef1b…764fbacked Goncalo Marques45c34.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.168338.6%32 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Tristan McCormick44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,01353.8%545 W · 468 L+35.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe014…b336backed Goncalo Marques62c31.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Tristan McCormick59c27.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5163447.9%304 W · 330 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd16f…9713backed Tristan McCormick55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158759.8%52 W · 35 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Tristan McCormick44c26.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7512543.2%54 W · 71 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb7…20d4backed Tristan McCormick56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Tristan McCormick58c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.342965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Tristan McCormick53c21.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.668057.1%388 W · 292 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.