Tennis · resolved market
Philadelphia: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Sloane Stephens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb34c1c913f68f8c8597f6a982bb2eb00169dc534921a84280584ba9bb06809d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mananchaya Sawangkaewof Mananchaya Sawangkaew, Sloane Stephens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb003…482dbacked Sloane Stephens | 0c | 97,140$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 44c | 3,261$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 58c | 2,247$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.94 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sloane Stephens | 51c | 1,172$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.27 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Sloane Stephens | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 50c | 964.18$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.34 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 51c | 955$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.65 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sloane Stephens | 50c | 768.96$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.88 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Sloane Stephens | 34c | 587.84$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.77 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Sloane Stephens | 34c | 584.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.32 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sloane Stephens | 30c | 562.44$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.23 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sloane Stephens | 45c | 543.17$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.83 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Sloane Stephens | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Sloane Stephens | 44c | 472.68$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.78 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sloane Stephens | 46c | 445.86$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.2 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Sloane Stephens | 28c | 401.56$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sloane Stephens | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…9becbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 55c | 364.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.11 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Sloane Stephens | 47c | 345.95$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.26 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…a3debacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 35c | 340$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 50c | 290.8$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.65 | 275 | 56%154 W · 121 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 74c | 276.9$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sloane Stephens | 38c | 250.61$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 70c | 241.39$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 30c | 241.09$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sloane Stephens | 58c | 198.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.21 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Sloane Stephens | 47c | 178.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Sloane Stephens | 55c | 169$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 67c | 160.46$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sloane Stephens | 20c | 153$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 50c | 152.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sloane Stephens | 47c | 126.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 49c | 125.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sloane Stephens | 53c | 124.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Sloane Stephens | 48c | 105.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…7eccbacked Sloane Stephens | 14c | 100.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Sloane Stephens | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Sloane Stephens | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Sloane Stephens | 52c | 88.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Sloane Stephens | 42c | 87.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Sloane Stephens | 50c | 80.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…2542backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 21c | 75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sloane Stephens | 60c | 74.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Sloane Stephens | 70c | 70.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sloane Stephens | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed Sloane Stephens | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Sloane Stephens | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa192…8876backed Sloane Stephens | 44c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…9b9ebacked Sloane Stephens | 39c | 58.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Sloane Stephens | 59c | 55.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Sloane Stephens | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 52c | 50.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 330 | 62.7%207 W · 123 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 38c | 39.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 50c | 37.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Sloane Stephens | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 337 | 54%182 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Sloane Stephens | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Sloane Stephens | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b53…e3fdbacked Sloane Stephens | 45c | 24.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Sloane Stephens | 50c | 22.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3286…52e5backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 52c | 21.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sloane Stephens | 48c | 21.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…53e3backed Sloane Stephens | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 69c | 16.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…150cbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 76c | 14.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.