Fifa International · resolved market
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ca2da741d8e7d2a2e675a31a55eacd84ef7b021fcf7d796b48ff4a2415db155
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed No | 74c | 3,770$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,914$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked No | 74c | 1,430$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.48 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…1294backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 70c | 999.49$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.78 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes | 25c | 950.93$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.73 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 72c | 620.3$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.68 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 583.44$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.53 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…02eabacked No | 73c | 479.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.59 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 369.61$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…1371backed No | 75c | 339.86$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 63c | 275.7$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…566cbacked No | 72c | 257.92$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 65 | 84.6%55 W · 10 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +29%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 62c | 257.09$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…6538backed Yes | 39c | 251.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 31c | 243.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 18c | 227$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d42…22a5backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb115…4e6fbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…e9dcbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e26…8991backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb7…f020backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 272 | 42.3%115 W · 157 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Yes | 26c | 170.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 26c | 152.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…3fe9backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…8086backed No | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8855…83adbacked Yes | 26c | 124.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe114…cd4fbacked Yes | 31c | 114.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 31.4%61 W · 133 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 104.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 27c | 101.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9c15backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…7eccbacked Yes | 36c | 92.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…a673backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7540backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…0934backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 78c | 76.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…91abbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Yes | 27c | 70.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 28c | 70.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed No | 75c | 64.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2c…88c6backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…247bbacked Yes | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 31c | 61.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 72c | 53.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf256…3767backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f08…1d25backed Yes | 26c | 41.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f7fbacked Yes | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 63c | 27.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 69c | 22.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assiststhis page
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ shotsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ shotsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ shotsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ shotsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ assistsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ goalsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shotsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.