TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9382…a673

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: UFC, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5933.9%20 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+553%+$3,041.25
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,191.46
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.51
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Morocco leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Riyad Mahrez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Breel Embolo: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$155.8
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,606Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$535.86
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.71
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$344.12
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$351
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$61.91
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$190.93
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.24
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,448Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+177.3%+$2,567.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.