TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,216 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x271b…16d8backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes33c9,760$3,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,173.0511348.7%55 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No69c6,874$4,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.34,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No66c4,842$3,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.1846464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No68c4,703$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.1711256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No68c4,150$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.9914139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked No67c3,602$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.4330214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes33c2,897$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.093920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No66c2,875$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.2432765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes34c2,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9843248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa352…f68ebacked Yes1c2,445$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.44633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes33c2,315$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.951,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked No66c1,512$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.2116260.5%98 W · 64 L+22.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No67c1,245$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.843,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Yes9c1,117$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.614856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No66c1,063$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.3277845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked No68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32018248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1039648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No67c994.33$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.137126.8%19 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No67c959.09$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.533,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes17c887.16$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0318843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes34c883.52$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x457e…1294backed Yes34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007234.7%25 W · 47 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No66c832.8$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.648652.3%45 W · 41 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc490…b6debacked No66c800$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2721040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc63e…e611backed Yes33c799.72$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.914238.1%16 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No68c788.99$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.484057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No69c720.69$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.1736250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No67c591.93$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.439951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024539.6%97 W · 148 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Yes33c569$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7728822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed No64c523.95$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2432042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbb…de86backed Yes34c514.71$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1756251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1656750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16545421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked No68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16019251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0034…d5a8backed Yes7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.51735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16514234.5%49 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17011642.2%49 W · 67 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb294…a9f4backed No69c461.83$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.176261.3%38 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf844…50d3backed Yes33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes13c441.84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.841,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes33c418.18$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1384522.2%10 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe14…c27dbacked No66c376.75$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.752777.8%21 W · 6 L+5.9wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes33c364.39$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2524616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed No67c343.39$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.397065.7%46 W · 24 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8412…31ddbacked No67c331.93$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.541450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfedd…3d6dbacked No67c331.15$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.813773%27 W · 10 L+6.2wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+22.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0936…fb00backed No67c324.1$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.68264.6%53 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10055153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2c…898abacked No68c311.98$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.835263.5%33 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes33c309.24$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.038,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefee…5c77backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006035%21 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x157c…cbc8backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd7…51fcbacked Yes34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025026%13 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b00…52eebacked No28c300$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2167331.5%23 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+58.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Yes34c296.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012839.1%50 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfded…4c93backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes35c290$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.553436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fda…e8a9backed No65c288.46$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x817f…01f4backed Yes33c287.64$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.922025%5 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Yes34c286.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5718827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022851.8%118 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019618.4%36 W · 160 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08b2…bed6backed No68c275$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884669.6%32 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes33c274.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9033123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad1c…6016backed No70c269.04$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.265766.7%38 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Yes30c267.14$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.149525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x552d…6331backed Yes34c249.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854067.5%27 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc977…56f1backed Yes33c244.86$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1610823.1%25 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes34c235.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8025532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes32c230.65$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.693,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c0b…01a4backed Yes35c228.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804922.4%11 W · 38 L-6.7wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-30.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f24…3a09backed No70c227.14$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.143473.5%25 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes34c215.49$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.969832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab90…e314backed Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+147.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No66c199.96$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9928873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde0e…e5bcbacked No68c192$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.444465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ac1…32adbacked Yes38c184.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6096…e6d9backed Yes11c181.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208855.7%49 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8704…566cbacked No67c180$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.66584.6%55 W · 10 L+11.4wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+29%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No67c161.77$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6214763.9%94 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc933…f519backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd91e…a433backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016739.5%66 W · 101 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45f6…4bfdbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2d…bfcbbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509437.2%35 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Yes34c160.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5514842.6%63 W · 85 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507759.7%46 W · 31 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b42…8086backed No66c152$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.684759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf326…52f9backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+53.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x500e…bd16backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016836.9%62 W · 106 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9382…a673backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505933.9%20 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…cf98backed Yes32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489834.7%34 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes32c149.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9915448.7%75 W · 79 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8250…ddd0backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick33cpaid+68.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef8a…7035backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503189.4%30 W · 288 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f5d…de70backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505632.1%18 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.