Fifa International · resolved market
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bd68052c68d6ad5f9d84be618aaecfab6908da75fb635d0e6023a320619481a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes | 77c | 930.44$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.82 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 25c | 736.29$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 80c | 504.48$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.46 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 23c | 434.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.52 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Yes | 18c | 275.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.79 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fc…f25abacked Yes | 20c | 251$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0034…d5a8backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 15c | 228.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88d…3db1backed Yes | 11c | 163.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.64 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Yes | 21c | 149.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 80c | 108.23$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 23c | 98.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Yes | 79c | 94.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 24c | 82.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…7bd0backed No | 22c | 60.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8635…003ebacked No | 65c | 57.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bed…90b7backed Yes | 62c | 46.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 30c | 46.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 37c | 40.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…e128backed No | 79c | 16.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goalsthis page
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ assistsYes won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ assistsYes won
- Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ shotsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 2+ shotsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jonathan David: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jonathan David: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jonathan David: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 2+ shotsYes won
- Jonathan David: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 3+ shotsYes won
- Jonathan David: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Promise David: 1+ goalsNo won
- Promise David: 3+ goalsNo won
- Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shotsYes won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ shotsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.