Fifa International · resolved market
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29c865e05be95f21813b3127539f604303f016f57f98ea6053c9ac5752d4bb4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c65…b9eebacked Yes | 2c | 657.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…fa6dbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 330.02$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 77c | 271$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 75c | 266.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed No | 76c | 254.17$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 225.83$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 25c | 216.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…fa86backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes | 29c | 182.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc7…a157backed Yes | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e2…2964backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Yes | 25c | 96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…dc09backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565f…e7dfbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed Yes | 26c | 78.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Yes | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 462 | 47.6%220 W · 242 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 22c | 69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 79c | 55.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 27c | 52.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3009…be46backed Yes | 48c | 40.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 73c | 37.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 75c | 35.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1f…3400backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…95a4backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsthis page
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ assistsYes won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ assistsYes won
- Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ shotsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 2+ shotsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jonathan David: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jonathan David: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jonathan David: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 2+ shotsYes won
- Jonathan David: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 3+ shotsYes won
- Jonathan David: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Promise David: 1+ goalsNo won
- Promise David: 3+ goalsNo won
- Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goalsYes won
- Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shotsYes won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ shotsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.