TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa0e6…fa86

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10136.6%37 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$283.33
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.5
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
France vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.04
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$294
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.99
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.14
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$253.84
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$75
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.16
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.31
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$115.91
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$20.88
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifierbacked Saigon Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.15
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$41.21
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Spurs vs. Kings: 1H O/U 120.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.03
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Qairat FK leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.