Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7172f70fa9603bb1450a525c442d49e41bebdba25c3b6a679957ac2954accef5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd77…0145backed Over | 19c | 3,939$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Over | 12c | 2,609$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.07 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 1c | 2,133$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 15c | 1,959$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 15c | 1,425$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.77 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbece…a74dbacked Over | 15c | 1,359$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 15c | 1,136$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.62 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 14c | 1,115$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.03 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 14c | 1,050$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 13c | 945.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 13c | 666.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Under | 80c | 606.24$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 14c | 384.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260f…6980backed Over | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 16c | 346.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x452c…340fbacked Over | 18c | 329.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…5ab3backed Over | 16c | 312.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Over | 12c | 292.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…be4abacked Over | 16c | 288.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…e395backed Under | 79c | 270$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 13c | 202.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…009bbacked Over | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 13c | 153$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 15c | 147.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 13c | 140$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf119…41b6backed Over | 15c | 137$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…7138backed Over | 16c | 127.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 12c | 113.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Over | 13c | 112.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…fa86backed Over | 16c | 104.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702a…26f9backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked Over | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Over | 12c | 88.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 20c | 80.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…ebc0backed Over | 13c | 79.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 264 | 24.6%65 W · 199 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0897…004bbacked Under | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersthis page
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- France vs. Spain: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.