TailMyPicks

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Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Spain: Team to Take First Corner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Franceof France, Spain
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,776 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x060f…5a9dbacked Spain50c7,846$3,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,901.93757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed France51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.9624144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed France52c1,053$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.912,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Spain47c954.83$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.7819037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spain9c896.27$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.438,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked France48c853.29$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.7174447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed France48c499.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26040163.3%254 W · 147 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked France52c487.17$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.8433555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Spain46c474.6$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22018554.6%101 W · 84 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked France51c447.85$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.271,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed France51c390$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.197742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed France51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14747049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked France51c292.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.533,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Spain47c223.03$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8417852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Spain49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020851%106 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe597…4e73backed France53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.687759.7%46 W · 31 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked France53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.62,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…3673backed France51c151.22$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.596346%29 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead5…427abacked Spain45c108$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.63342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Spain48c85.79$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1857252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1901…31cebacked Spain49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012763%80 W · 47 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Spain46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.855942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Spain48c73.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.432560%15 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Spain48c72.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed France48c68.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.664852.1%25 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed France53c67.51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.731,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f3…3ffebacked France56c53.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.136443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Spain48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9634551.9%179 W · 166 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1506…e79ebacked Spain49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020049%98 W · 102 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4480…8c0ebacked France54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.044944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a31…80d4backed Spain46c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.13925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed France53c34.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.232,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd511…aa30backed Spain48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154920.4%10 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Spain43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.92441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9969…ef00backed France54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.88254.9%45 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11cb…0bdbbacked Spain49c28.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.935337.7%20 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked France54c22.41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.316442.2%27 W · 37 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.