Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x849dd595adc56afa7ce053a6614f960fdd5977d169c7182da54bd461672d94cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f97…20debacked Under | 44c | 6,980$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,908.55 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -47%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.99 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Over | 61c | 3,372$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.86 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 45c | 2,205$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.35 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Over | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.99 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed Under | 43c | 1,090$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.51 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 29c | 959.56$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.68 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…72e7backed Under | 49c | 927.43$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 57c | 911.87$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.42 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 21c | 800$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 43c | 677.98$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.47 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 43c | 651$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 49c | 579.74$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Under | 49c | 544.14$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.49 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 50c | 537.06$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.57 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…e7e0backed Over | 56c | 516.07$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Over | 49c | 506$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.94 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 56c | 500.99$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.55 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Under | 44c | 454.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.39 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked Over | 57c | 441$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 53c | 430.9$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.34 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8289backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 54c | 346.64$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.19 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Over | 50c | 333.33$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…0bc2backed Over | 59c | 289.01$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…0324backed Over | 56c | 262.02$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.73 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 58c | 248.59$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.28 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 231.87$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6903…b2edbacked Over | 59c | 192.15$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 51c | 146.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 22c | 131.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Under | 45c | 131.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 46c | 131.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 52c | 131$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648b…8c77backed Over | 54c | 122.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 52c | 118.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…87c9backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 55c | 75.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d8…23d0backed Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 52c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 56c | 52.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41d…8328backed Over | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaa…9068backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b32…9bf8backed Over | 54c | 36.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Over | 54c | 35.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 49c | 30.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…566abacked Over | 53c | 29.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 53c | 26.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Over | 51c | 23.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 293 | 41%120 W · 173 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c05…fabfbacked Under | 46c | 23.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 70 | 78.6%55 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…59e6backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…95a0backed Over | 57c | 18.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- France vs. Spain: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.