Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3dadb3383ed136be230f7661920ec13a889983e76a4fa428f7c622336021e02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 0c | 18,113$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 3,426$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.76 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 37c | 1,998$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.26 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 63c | 1,469$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.62 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 63c | 1,394$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.08 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd097…93d0backed Under | 38c | 858.05$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.06 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 35c | 815.1$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.03 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…0306backed Over | 64c | 782.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.86 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 36c | 646.91$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.89 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…13d2backed Over | 66c | 595.57$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.88 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 37c | 536.57$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 63c | 511.98$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.43 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…5405backed Over | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.45 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 36c | 475.91$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.73 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cc…78e8backed Over | 63c | 473.06$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.42 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x948e…44d1backed Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Over | 63c | 299.95$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.98 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…55e5backed Under | 36c | 268.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over | 59c | 249.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 67c | 221.92$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 38c | 221$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 39c | 219.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…3b75backed Over | 62c | 205.81$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 38c | 199.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac0…e877backed Over | 62c | 177.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…2429backed Over | 68c | 163.24$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 32c | 163.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe237…ee01backed Over | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…a275backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 41c | 157.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 35c | 151.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 63c | 141.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…40a6backed Under | 39c | 124$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 31c | 116.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x770f…ac44backed Under | 37c | 103.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 345 | 51.9%179 W · 166 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…54dcbacked Over | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…c7c5backed Over | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d10…3bddbacked Over | 68c | 79.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…6de9backed Over | 69c | 73.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 60cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 37c | 71.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…2a21backed Over | 69c | 58.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 38c | 56.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 58c | 55.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…0b63backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd511…aa30backed Under | 41c | 49.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb18…6f32backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…bf19backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 39c | 47.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 37c | 44.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 41c | 42.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 318 | 53.1%169 W · 149 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 37c | 41.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Under | 49c | 38.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Under | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebad…c1c4backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd176…78bbbacked Over | 65c | 30.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…02dabacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 189 | 21.7%41 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…72b5backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Under | 39c | 29.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fd…4bf2backed Over | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 37c | 29.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 35c | 28.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 264 | 55.3%146 W · 118 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c0…0974backed Under | 40c | 28.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Over | 60c | 25.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb111…393ebacked Over | 53c | 24.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Over | 59c | 23.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Over | 56c | 21.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…8294backed Over | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…ab16backed Over | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81cf…f69cbacked Over | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- France vs. Spain: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.