TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa58b…ef84

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
436
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: World Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 58 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT12441.1%51 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Winston-Salem Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Facundo Mena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Augsburg: Petr Brunclik vs Daniel Masurbacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
ITF W15 Tianjin 4 Women: Naho Sato vs Lingyou Gebacked Naho Sato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Lois Boissonbacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Canadian Open: Zachary Svajda vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonebacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Plovdiv 2: Yanaki Milev vs Oriol Roca Batallabacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Canadian Open: Jaume Munar vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Gabriel Debrubacked Gabriel Debru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
National Bank Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lin Zhubacked Lin Zhu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT4938.8%19 W · 30 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Commodities — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 7?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 Week of June 22 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$37
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT4560%27 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$20.93
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+201.1%+$659.9
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.2
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$943Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$943
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
France vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$952Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,848
France vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$127
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$915Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$1,085
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.8
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$110.98
France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Martin Ødegaard: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.9
Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$139
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$49
Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$23.87
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$132
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$138
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.99
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.8
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$21.4
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$96.5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$124
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.2
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$63.99
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.02
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.99
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$16.6
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.37
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick63cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Canada recession before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+151.8%+$84.4
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$72
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will the Social Democrats win 35-39 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$85.99
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.35
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.78
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$51.22
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$11
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.5
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Will Anthropic have the second-best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+45.9%+$323.07
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.6
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.39
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$14.25
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.24
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.4
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.08
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+38.7%+$5.42
All 17 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$37
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$10.9
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85%+$46.42
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.66
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$176
Will Bob Brooks be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Melissa Conyears Ervin be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+43.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$20.99
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+168.8%+$62.8
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$20.72
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$21.04
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+198.6%+$64.52
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$33.38
All 11 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$56.99
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$41
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$8.1
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.72
Will Generate Biomedicines' market cap be $2.3B or greater at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$91
Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$31.13
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$41.89
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-58.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+123.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-73.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$25.95
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+166.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+166.1%+$62.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Perry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisiana Tech vs. Kennesaw Statebacked Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.