TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,235 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd640…480cbacked No0c24,060$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.063941%16 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No72c4,350$3,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,126.6293840.2%377 W · 561 L-69.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x48d5…ec29backed No1c3,615$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Yes13c2,700$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3592420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick17cpaid-35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa53b…4021backed Yes41c2,408$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.7629747.5%141 W · 156 L+34.9wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+30.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xab51…2473backed Yes14c1,868$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.579422.3%21 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x054d…27bfbacked Yes37c1,227$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.44988.9%8 W · 1 L+4.0wins+0.45per pick44cpaid+110.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes80c1,006$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.32955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d81…259bbacked No65c600$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903565.7%23 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb75…f496backed No5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304934.7%17 W · 32 L+11.0wins+0.22per pick12cpaid+159.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x41f3…844ebacked Yes33c599.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.4930738.8%119 W · 188 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9898…0a7dbacked Yes14c564.14$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.692650%13 W · 13 L+6.8wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+233%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xdac5…ae24backed Yes31c542.68$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.9119855.6%110 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5a…f7a4backed No65c522.89$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.481833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x253e…da4bbacked Yes39c475$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No75c350$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.81,04834.5%362 W · 686 L-94.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9cea…ffd2backed No69c331.42$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.6810667.9%72 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4023…77c1backed No66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes9c263.16$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.311246.5%8 W · 116 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed No67c261.55$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2736550.4%184 W · 181 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05dd…e2afbacked Yes55c219.65$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9714143.3%61 W · 80 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes42c202.26$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.441,27724.3%310 W · 967 L-58.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9789…6020backed Yes22c200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes40c195.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.127322%60 W · 213 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes26c173.05$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.062646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…abffbacked Yes45c153.93$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.154548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes33c153$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.518051.3%41 W · 39 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3764…c5ebbacked No77c140.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9529436.1%106 W · 188 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes36c136.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7218540.5%75 W · 110 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No63c114.43$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7821815.6%34 W · 184 L-37.8wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-68.9%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Yes47c109.14$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.584143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdf5…e344backed Yes44c105$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.152839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c5c…df53backed Yes40c103.93$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.881963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a95…2551backed Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d5…1343backed No41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae79…5322backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.51952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485662.5%35 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5c1…de09backed Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d9b…085ebacked Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8049…05babacked No64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+20.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0254…efdbbacked No80c95.83$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.352330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-35.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No55c84.27$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0212829.7%38 W · 90 L-15.7wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-55.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcec5…f20fbacked No67c80$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1120…47bfbacked No57c78.73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.122653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2db…6865backed Yes53c78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.644161%25 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2137…7ddabacked Yes32c77.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.42616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72cb…5962backed Yes29c76.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1810148.5%49 W · 52 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecb2…a30cbacked No26c76.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.961723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd731…bec0backed Yes20c58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03bc…530cbacked No73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.51118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-69.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed No79c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.51776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa58b…ef84backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304938.8%19 W · 30 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x017f…52e3backed No52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6726…46febacked No67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5979…fc4fbacked Yes43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+55.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4125…868cbacked Yes42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff09…9328backed Yes43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa18d…9b51backed Yes43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3919923.1%46 W · 153 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b3a…6c7abacked No73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1788…6c66backed No67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.51070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x717f…3fb1backed Yes24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+79.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28b9…2bdcbacked No78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…639fbacked No65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x959f…fd55backed No71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb87f…0a24backed No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Yes59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.52744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd9…b83cbacked Yes25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd572…6270backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+224.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8d0…5542backed Yes76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.04850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc10b…96d5backed No70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc176…96aabacked Yes52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b48…41bbbacked Yes32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc7e…57e1backed Yes45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe105…185bbacked Yes43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc65a…a48ebacked Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd862…f135backed Yes31c49.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51275%9 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+50.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0313…5516backed Yes27c46.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f19…bf1ebacked Yes46c43.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.45343.4%23 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcab…e9b8backed No59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.831258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed No41c26.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.784072.5%29 W · 11 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Yes48c25.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.133080%24 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+39.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2d33…d7b3backed No68c22.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.