TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdcab…e9b8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 62 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.26per pick53cpaid+51.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$4.6
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$3.33
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.32
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$27.52
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+109%+$32.23
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$44.14
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$7.63
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$50.39
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.82
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$84.06
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$11.42
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$6.23
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+156%+$22.3
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+155.4%+$56.13
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+149.2%+$25.56
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$6.52
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.93
All 19 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.66
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$173.08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$11.41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+269.3%+$123.85
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+209%+$114.23
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14.37
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.83
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+90%+$19.68
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+30%+$4.12
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+185.9%+$31.16
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.51
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$43.24
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.13
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.42
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+287.7%+$54.01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$40.28
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$6.78
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.16
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.95
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$9.22
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$11.52
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.26
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.04
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$9.97
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+38.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs 2007 (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Cbacked 2007 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$23.88
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Bebop (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Dbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$12.41
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$19.6
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.29
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Falcons Force - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$7.15
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+300.3%+$61.55
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 9z Team vs OXEN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonbacked 9z Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$4.64
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Nova Esports (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$17.18
Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.6
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Valorant: REBORN vs Enterprise Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked REBORN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+103.5%+$26.64
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
Valorant: REBORN vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO5) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffsbacked Beşiktaş Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
All 7 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-46.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+64.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$6.84
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+123.8%+$57.54
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.17
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.02
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+87.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-55.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$10.78
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+32.6%+$10.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+86.3%+$9.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$32.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Basquet Club Andorra vs. Manresabacked Basquet Club Andorra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$27.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$3.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$8.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Speed Chess QF: Lazavik vs Niemannbacked Niemann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$22.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$116.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.