Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4d5c8b88c61adfdcce2b7851afbbc4e109e5823dc5a4fb2f4646d6abe8d5576
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3936…366dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 33,000$16,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,910.46 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 22,260$10,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,255.73 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.99 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 9,683$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,509.61 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 7,025$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975.62 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 6,811$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 6,775$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.78 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 5,802$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.23 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 5,390$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910.54 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.98 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 4,047$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.65 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 3,862$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.85 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 3,636$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 3,032$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.12 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…115abacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 2,882$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.48 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 2,844$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.6 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 2,600$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 2,433$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.87 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 2,354$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.55 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 2,341$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.89 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked Xtreme Gaming | 3c | 2,201$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.99 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 1,832$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.24 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,691$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.24 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 1,557$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.39 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 1,400$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 1,350$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.44 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,314$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.92 | 563 | 48.1%271 W · 292 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebb…8551backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 1,249$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 1,246$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.15 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 1,242$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.32 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 1,228$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.2 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 339 | 51.3%174 W · 165 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 1,169$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.56 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,140$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.62 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,139$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.53 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,132$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.3 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb16d…1941backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 1,047$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 1,013$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.98 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…e516backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…46b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 999.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 994.51$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.8 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 958.4$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.2 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 870.47$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.15 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 860$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 850.22$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.53 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 843.57$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.37 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 842.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.11 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 817.42$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.18 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 800$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 799.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 699.22$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.99 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 696$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.12 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 694$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 689.31$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 670$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 654.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.84 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 649.04$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.03 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 628.35$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 623.45$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.09 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 621.58$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.71 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 562.24$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.89 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 557.27$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.63 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 537.4$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.7 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…3506backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 524.98$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.16 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…692abacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 521.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…db43backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 507.22$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 490.61$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.58 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 480.72$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.97 | 372 | 41.9%156 W · 216 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 457.57$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.43 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 431.82$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.82 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 429.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.47 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 425.72$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 414.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 410.79$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.3 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…dd2dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 409.23$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 400.43$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.71 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 398$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 193 | 58.5%113 W · 80 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 393.54$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.34 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 378.23$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.76 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 367.71$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.15 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…31e3backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…6af8backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 336.43$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 329.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…e7c7backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 318.67$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 316.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.44 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 300.57$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.3 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 298.64$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.35 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 291.27$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.