Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd66f5eb409327b05aa343a0a320d7f2592e25289484c288d055f1dee8afbbc90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 25,938$16,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,935.6 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce47…4032backed Xtreme Gaming | 3c | 11,371$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 10,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,850 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 8,533$4,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,954.39 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 6,962$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,890.74 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 5,482$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.72 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 5,221$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.55 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 4,779$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.57 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 4,754$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.36 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 3,743$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.69 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 3,600$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.07 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 3,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.35 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 2,763$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.25 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 2,728$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.03 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 2,640$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.24 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 2,564$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.53 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 2,482$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.45 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 2,120$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.99 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 2,005$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.77 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 1,908$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.61 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 1,727$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.15 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,640$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.99 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 1,634$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.46 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 1,557$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.69 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 1,508$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.14 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 1,456$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.79 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 1,330$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 1,330$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 1,286$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.63 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,262$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.02 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 1,181$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 1,173$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.57 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 1,131$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.26 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Xtreme Gaming | 3c | 1,099$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 955.99$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.47 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 920$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.6 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 866.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.93 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 864.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.61 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 859.98$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.59 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Xtreme Gaming | 8c | 850$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Xtreme Gaming | 8c | 827.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 819.11$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.76 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 795.18$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.99 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 664.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bc…a4c6backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 657.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 650$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.96 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 633.64$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.05 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 8c | 600$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 599.99$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.99 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 559.73$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.64 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 557.69$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 556.04$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 540.79$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 536.72$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.35 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 503.91$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 499.99$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.49 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 499.98$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…e3d7backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 495.79$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 485.77$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.65 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…b01cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 478.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 430$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b09…f89fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 400.39$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 400$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.7 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 377.19$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 375.94$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Xtreme Gaming | 5c | 375$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 371.16$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.39 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 366.54$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.25 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 361.15$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.88 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 357$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.24 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 348.69$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.22 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 325.37$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.46 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 316.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.67 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Xtreme Gaming | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 300$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 290.21$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 289.76$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Xtreme Gaming | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Xtreme Gaming | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 243$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.94 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 241.62$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.37 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 229.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.26 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 209.72$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 205.79$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…c7a6backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 199.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 190$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.