Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d3428c4dc56a3eb40f86630c1a658ab964b8e1809f358d2d465426be416ccc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 27,646$18,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,109.3 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 18,466$5,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,960.93 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 9,537$6,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.24 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 9,069$3,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.14 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 9,004$4,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,951.6 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 7,845$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.81 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 7,358$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 6,801$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.42 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 6,266$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,261.06 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 5,987$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,190.67 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 5,500$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,739.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 5,000$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.47 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 4,309$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.29 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 4,070$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 4,063$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 4,000$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.48 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 3,850$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.48 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 3,654$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.23 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 3,535$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.69 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 3,358$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 3,311$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.21 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 3,220$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.45 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 2,855$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.91 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 2,781$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.76 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 2,654$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.43 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 2,500$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.98 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 2,497$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.49 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 2,446$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.72 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 2,285$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.5 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 2,259$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.68 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 2,177$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.9 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 2,140$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.39 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 2,021$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.49 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…115abacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 2,010$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 1,959$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.3 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 1,822$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.37 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,785$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.69 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,706$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.49 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 1,705$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.36 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 1,690$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.1 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 1,488$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.91 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 1,480$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 1,460$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.63 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 1,404$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.76 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 1,251$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.54 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 1,248$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.28 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 1,242$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.99 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 1,210$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.58 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,193$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.64 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 1,152$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.92 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 1,127$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 1,118$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.97 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.43 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,064$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.49 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,015$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.08 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 1,011$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.45 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 1,005$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.98 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 949.97$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.03 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 900$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.21 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 871.86$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.86 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 866.67$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.67 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 817$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.07 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 806.66$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.39 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 775.23$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.81 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…a66ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 775$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.18 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 753.74$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.47 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…b01cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 752.17$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 750$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 738.29$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.9 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 700$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 690.57$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.53 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce47…4032backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 673.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 668.82$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.76 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…8174backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 666.58$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.6 | 249 | 47.8%119 W · 130 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 660.64$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.24 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 650.56$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.88 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 650$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 650$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.09 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 612.82$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.41 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Xtreme Gaming | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 592.68$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.68 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 589.03$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…1b2ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 586$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.29 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 530.32$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.09 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 527.31$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.66 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 507$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.69 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 499.49$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.43 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…db43backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 491$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 443.98$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.83 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 438.13$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.28 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 435.68$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.65 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.