Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x304f6556f954e24fb45a19b5d6ffc225de9dd2dcbb33a566d62d3f4d6dbcb055
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,854,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,872,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,854,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,615 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Under | 41c | 514,835$209,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305,332.01 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 53c | 342,329$180,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180,323.63 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 222,232$111,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,789.91 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Over | 60c | 166,667$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Over | 57c | 110,217$63,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,179.3 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Over | 58c | 52,846$30,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,650.68 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 50,157$23,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,480.07 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 44,428$21,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,511.81 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Under | 42c | 40,829$17,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,681.1 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 35c | 40,111$14,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,193.41 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 37,272$12,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,882.59 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed Under | 44c | 34,816$15,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,521.71 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 41c | 31,583$13,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,488.23 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 68c | 29,035$19,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,254.54 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…f764backed Over | 59c | 25,424$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed Under | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,250.23 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed Over | 51c | 22,948$11,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,592.65 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Over | 56c | 22,252$12,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,418.31 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 46c | 21,739$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,739.13 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba22…0c14backed Over | 60c | 21,488$12,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,893.03 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x580d…eb6dbacked Over | 59c | 21,153$12,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,480.2 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Over | 59c | 20,423$12,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,022.86 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Over | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Under | 46c | 20,000$9,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,780 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 59c | 18,224$10,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,752.24 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 18,065$9,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,536.64 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 55c | 17,571$9,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,747.99 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Over | 59c | 16,949$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Over | 59c | 16,949$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 60c | 16,700$10,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,020 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae95…7adabacked Under | 62c | 16,233$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,233.2 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 44c | 15,909$6,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,946.82 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Under | 64c | 15,600$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600.22 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 68c | 15,332$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,831.55 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Under | 80c | 15,153$12,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.2 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Over | 60c | 15,000$8,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,949.98 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f14…29d1backed Under | 72c | 14,883$10,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225.31 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 45c | 13,561$6,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,122.37 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 59c | 13,419$7,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,538.49 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 71c | 12,747$9,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,646.36 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Under | 45c | 12,699$5,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,955.51 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2505…c668backed Over | 29c | 12,236$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,597.88 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Over | 59c | 12,000$7,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,080 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…b1a8backed Over | 43c | 12,000$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,160 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Under | 42c | 12,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,960 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 11,923$5,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,871.69 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 41c | 11,643$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.25 | 223 | 42.6%95 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 42c | 11,523$4,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.09 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Over | 52c | 11,499$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Over | 59c | 11,399$6,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,725.37 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 40c | 10,630$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,377.94 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under | 41c | 10,500$4,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,174.96 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 59c | 10,000$5,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,861.09 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28f5backed Over | 42c | 10,000$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,149.98 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Under | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.97 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Over | 1c | 9,999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 42c | 9,641$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,607.74 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…6866backed Over | 55c | 9,572$5,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,276 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 51c | 9,253$4,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,688.88 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 45c | 8,589$3,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,743.24 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Under | 41c | 8,308$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,879.24 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Over | 57c | 8,140$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 59c | 8,122$4,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,791.98 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked Under | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 41c | 7,420$3,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,355.42 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 62c | 7,197$4,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.33 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 58c | 7,126$4,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.21 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Under | 47c | 7,091$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,758.49 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 42c | 6,935$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.3 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 41c | 6,888$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,063.92 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Over | 20c | 6,768$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.54 | 190 | 20.5%39 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 68c | 6,648$4,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.08 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Over | 53c | 6,604$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Under | 41c | 6,500$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed Under | 41c | 6,400$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.99 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Under | 80c | 6,389$5,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.83 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 40c | 6,300$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,753.99 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 59c | 6,209$3,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,663.28 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 41c | 6,208$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,648.57 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Under | 49c | 6,123$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.73 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 41c | 6,046$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.95 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Under | 41c | 6,000$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Under | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 44c | 6,000$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.99 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Over | 29c | 5,885$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.33 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 5,441$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.26 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 42c | 5,422$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.55 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 5,374$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.86 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Over | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 41c | 5,348$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.3 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…1ab1backed Under | 61c | 5,157$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.85 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Over | 60c | 4,862$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.04 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 36c | 4,860$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.06 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 41c | 4,775$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.54 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 60c | 4,699$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.94 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Over | 33c | 4,565$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed Over | 10c | 4,455$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.28 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 65c | 4,435$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.75 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-4.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-5.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceUnited States won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.