United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fa4ea7c271214d91686c474973fe8ab5abe234800978325ebb8ae0450a0c940

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $454,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $406,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,356 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	9c	43,643$3,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,798.56	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	7c	28,748$2,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,114.17	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under	5c	20,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.98	132	34.1%45 W · 87 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	8c	16,409$1,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,311.86	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under	6c	16,341$967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$967.06	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under	2c	15,001$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.73	338	43.5%147 W · 191 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	5c	15,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.99	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	10c	14,921$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,484.6	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under	7c	14,321$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under	4c	12,258$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.34	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	5c	10,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	306	26.5%81 W · 225 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87d…e4bfbacked Under	6c	8,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	+86%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under	5c	8,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under	4c	7,777$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.41	143	25.2%36 W · 107 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under	7c	6,597$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.27	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under	6c	6,300$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.5	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	6c	5,658$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.79	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under	5c	4,809$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.44	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under	5c	3,641$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.05	301	37.2%112 W · 189 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	8c	3,450$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.68	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	9c	3,347$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.45	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under	5c	3,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	122	24.6%30 W · 92 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under	5c	2,912$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.61	265	34%90 W · 175 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under	8c	2,802$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.99	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under	5c	2,500$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	341	25.8%88 W · 253 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under	1c	2,275$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.02	186	28.5%53 W · 133 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Under	6c	2,136$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.79	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	4c	2,118$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.72	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf83…da82backed Under	5c	2,065$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.24	102	41.2%42 W · 60 L	+12.7wins	+0.12per pick	29cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	158	46.2%73 W · 85 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…d0ecbacked Under	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e98…1583backed Under	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Under	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd943…8676backed Under	7c	1,903$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.19	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-42%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under	9c	1,778$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	137	31.4%43 W · 94 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under	7c	1,660$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.4	357	19.6%70 W · 287 L	-13.8wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under	6c	1,167$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	302	20.2%61 W · 241 L	-15.6wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	118	26.3%31 W · 87 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	9c	1,000$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x655a…8fadbacked Under	5c	915.8$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.79	107	15%16 W · 91 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0c…ba73backed Under	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	102	24.5%25 W · 77 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Under	6c	810.33$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.62	431	39%168 W · 263 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	4c	799.98$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.64	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	9c	767$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.98	294	50%147 W · 147 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	9c	730.58$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.22	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under	6c	721.56$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.29	300	54%162 W · 138 L	+17.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under	5c	700$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	217	22.1%48 W · 169 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	4c	620$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.04	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Under	5c	594$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	175	6.9%12 W · 163 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+112.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	5c	583.15$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.16	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3f…b7c9backed Under	5c	546.62$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Under	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	35%62 W · 115 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under	5c	499.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under	11c	496.14$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.58	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Under	8c	433.87$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.71	455	36.9%168 W · 287 L	-26.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Under	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	135	31.9%43 W · 92 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Under	8c	375$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	248	25.8%64 W · 184 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	12c	374.25$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.91	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Under	6c	308.7$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.52	181	18.2%33 W · 148 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under	5c	304.94$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.25	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under	9c	227.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.46	560	22.7%127 W · 433 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under	5c	220$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	212	40.6%86 W · 126 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…1d66backed Under	5c	207.8$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.39	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	14cpaid	+133%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Under	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	177	27.1%48 W · 129 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	208	41.3%86 W · 122 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd53d…bd38backed Under	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Under	10c	199.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	182	37.4%68 W · 114 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under	8c	157.59$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	384	37%142 W · 242 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bd…d0a9backed Under	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	33cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bb6…7319backed Under	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc40…af29backed Under	11c	103.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	-6.5wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5this page
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Spread: United States (-3.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Spread: United States (-4.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Spread: United States (-5.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 6.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 7.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceUnited States won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event