TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,798 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f3a…99b2backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost-$2008733.3%29 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No80c639.3$511 inWon+$127.8634249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost-$5035614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes31c152$47 inLost-$47.021,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No79c149.96$118 inWon+$31.4957252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3e5…dd13backed Yes18c125$23 inLost-$22.5316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x971d…19bcbacked Yes19c100$19 inLost-$19537.5%4 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-57.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost-$2015046.7%70 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x083f…a55fbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost-$203540%14 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Yes19c100$19 inLost-$1933221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…ca2ebacked Yes21c97.32$20 inLost-$208446.4%39 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Yes20c95.15$19 inLost-$19.035923.7%14 W · 45 L-7.7wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-42.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9aa1…36f6backed Yes25c90.36$22 inLost-$22.58153.1%43 W · 38 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x911d…3886backed Yes19c84.21$16 inLost-$1611526.1%30 W · 85 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ef…cb02backed Yes36c82.3$30 inLost-$301050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Yes19c78.95$15 inLost-$156965.2%45 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No67c75.58$51 inWon+$24.692,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes20c74.14$15 inLost-$14.832,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0b…9cb1backed Yes21c52.87$11 inLost-$116933.3%23 W · 46 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost-$1010952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8dd…2365backed Yes20c50$10 inLost-$102737%10 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d8…cad8backed Yes20c50$10 inLost-$101050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No80c47.37$38 inWon+$9.472,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48bc…e43abacked Yes31c45$14 inLost-$13.951145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No73c33.69$25 inWon+$9.012,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No73c28.56$21 inWon+$7.7820860.6%126 W · 82 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.