TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,359
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,359 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes4c5,394$198 inLost-$197.623,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes17c3,000$510 inLost-$51043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes18c1,204$211 inLost-$211.243,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Yes18c1,111$200 inLost-$20011150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes13c1,102$142 inLost-$141.811,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01cc…c1e3backed Yes14c1,078$151 inLost-$150.922520%5 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes18c1,000$180 inLost-$1806031.7%19 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes13c960$125 inLost-$124.9773536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes10c788.73$76 inLost-$75.694,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes12c604$73 inLost-$73.071,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes18c569.84$102 inLost-$101.788,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes18c550$99 inLost-$991,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes12c525$62 inLost-$61.661,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Yes18c513$92 inLost-$92.3422835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes11c500$56 inLost-$56.271,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9abc…636abacked Yes18c500$90 inLost-$908734.5%30 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes17c496.77$87 inLost-$86.943,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes13c493$66 inLost-$66.4587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc27e…009dbacked Yes19c461.05$88 inLost-$87.63237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes17c404.99$68 inLost-$68.442,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes13c398.99$50 inLost-$49.891,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes12c349$41 inLost-$41.3965036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes9c303.03$28 inLost-$28.492,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes8c283$24 inLost-$23.5882537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee96…0ae7backed Yes22c255.5$56 inLost-$56.214148.8%20 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee81…df6abacked Yes18c155.56$28 inLost-$285736.8%21 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x099e…b3c1backed Yes16c125$20 inLost-$2010339.8%41 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd500…24b2backed Yes18c107.33$19 inLost-$19.321618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5db2…defebacked Yes18c100$18 inLost-$181225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes19c78.95$15 inLost-$1521525.1%54 W · 161 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ab…15a0backed Yes19c78.95$15 inLost-$153537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c5e…3ae1backed Yes19c73.68$14 inLost-$1460%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked Yes19c70$13 inLost-$13.328251.4%145 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.