TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$290,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c92,214$64,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,366.624,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over26c46,051$11,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,992.482,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over38c44,883$17,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,076.72,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77d1…1c30backed Over2c30,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over31c15,554$4,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.4532029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under60c12,984$7,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,193.4240655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under60c9,649$5,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,861.61,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under65c9,298$6,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,259.074,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over24c8,405$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.84,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over37c6,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2207550.7%38 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over34c5,951$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.668,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.8823942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under60c4,864$2,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.242,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under61c4,559$2,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.272,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Under61c4,178$2,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.657337%27 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over38c4,085$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.642,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over40c3,999$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.635446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb335…39c1backed Over1c3,778$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.771163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Over40c3,767$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50017751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under71c3,699$2,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.573,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over33c2,953$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.22,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over36c2,324$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.291,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over27c1,478$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.121,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over38c1,298$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49529636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under60c1,243$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.733,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over27c1,058$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8259453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Over37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3705435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Over37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37018644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over13c1,000$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12619823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over41c975.61$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05c6…3a8fbacked Under79c875$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.112100%12 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+44.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Over40c875$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507844.9%35 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Over20c800$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605549.1%27 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x247f…865fbacked Over38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2523353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under61c777.26$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.693,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed Over39c750$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.55916.9%10 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under63c680.13$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.052,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over19c671$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.71,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under60c666.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6667447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over31c656.21$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.492,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Over41c609.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd48…0074backed Over38c601.06$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2307945.6%36 W · 43 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed70…fbb9backed Over38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-45%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over35c433.83$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under62c393$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.451,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under62c387.02$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0761752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over38c357.12$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1928025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under61c350$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.567354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ec…a234backed Over36c278.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50b0…cdf7backed Over38c265.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Over40c265.58$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.239852%51 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked Over40c264.43$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.772352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over12c253.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.782,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd7…51fcbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005026%13 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a51…ce14backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over26c237.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5941444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under60c237.92$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.161,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under60c234.87$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.951,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over32c230$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.658642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under73c224.68$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3784751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f2e…897dbacked Over40c215.55$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.22933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+91%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under71c199.22$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.791,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under61c193.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6695037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under77c191.68$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1188852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under64c167$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.122,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xebed…3528backed Under63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.738349.4%41 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under61c144.58$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3942853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Over40c142.5$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710549.5%52 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1226…f998backed Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509550.5%48 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b20…2f94backed Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020729%60 W · 147 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Over38c133.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025018.4%46 W · 204 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e6…fa86backed Over29c132.76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.510136.6%37 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f74…8741backed Over16c128.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203218.8%6 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc069…0807backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x859f…0f26backed Over38c123.68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over31c108.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.931,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d64…f266backed Over40c102.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under73c102.24$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.352,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3926946.8%126 W · 143 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under60c99.7$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8897742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fc…55ccbacked Over37c99.62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7610335%36 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Under60c95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3846247.6%220 W · 242 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f64…94b4backed Under61c90.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.362222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-57.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under65c85.16$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9148937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under60c84.62$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.473,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over39c83.83$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.568750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under62c82.47$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6142554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over39c80.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.053,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under62c79.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.42,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.