Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb391a6be14eb39694df290b2b9c5f196c247a4e9b94e62789286b7ab0ff51e5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Yes | 17c | 3,656$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.57 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 27c | 2,422$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.21 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 73c | 1,478$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.01 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 72c | 1,159$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.48 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed No | 73c | 984.71$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.65 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 957.99$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.45 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed No | 72c | 826.39$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.39 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked No | 72c | 772.5$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.3 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 28c | 664.49$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.61 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed No | 72c | 652.78$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.78 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 72c | 617.9$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.01 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 28c | 433.07$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.36 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8202…f6a5backed Yes | 24c | 399.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 71c | 372.61$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 299.29$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9d…4073backed No | 77c | 295.74$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 76c | 245.19$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f6…e325backed No | 72c | 244.65$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 77c | 213.24$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 18c | 183$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 19c | 171$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 19c | 153.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 27c | 149.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 17c | 148.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 18c | 144$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed No | 73c | 132.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 19c | 120.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ef…777bbacked Yes | 28c | 118.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 74c | 94.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 26c | 84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 27c | 69.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 28c | 60.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…dd03backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…6b2abacked Yes | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 28c | 49.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb237…f959backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…296bbacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…6570backed Yes | 30c | 36.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 70c | 28.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed No | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 76cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed No | 72c | 16.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfthis page
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-4.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-5.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceUnited States won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.