TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
United Statesof Bosnia and Herzegovina, United States
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$273,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$299,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,123 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6c5b…2ed4backed Bosnia and Herzegovina3c33,312$998 inLost-$997.7140%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina3c22,000$645 inLost-$64525019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Bosnia and Herzegovina3c16,141$444 inLost-$4442,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c6…73a1backed Bosnia and Herzegovina4c15,000$555 inLost-$554.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bosnia and Herzegovina3c8,562$253 inLost-$252.8960511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Bosnia and Herzegovina1c8,100$87 inLost-$86.783,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bosnia and Herzegovina1c7,910$73 inLost-$73.263,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bosnia and Herzegovina3c7,114$187 inLost-$187.3336031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina3c5,495$154 inLost-$153.871,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina2c5,056$97 inLost-$96.6437223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina2c5,007$100 inLost-$100.142,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2505…c668backed Bosnia and Herzegovina3c5,000$143 inLost-$143.171915.8%3 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick11cpaid-24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Bosnia and Herzegovina3c4,387$127 inLost-$127.2210355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b9…d379backed Bosnia and Herzegovina3c3,546$100 inLost-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bosnia and Herzegovina3c2,734$85 inLost-$85.18,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bosnia and Herzegovina1c1,550$17 inLost-$17.054,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina3c1,338$35 inLost-$35.452020%4 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Bosnia and Herzegovina3c1,319$36 inLost-$35.552,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd58e…bf44backed Bosnia and Herzegovina3c1,054$32 inLost-$31.751225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina3c902.99$25 inLost-$2517527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Bosnia and Herzegovina3c620$19 inLost-$18.611811.9%14 W · 104 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina3c508.63$14 inLost-$13.9231232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Bosnia and Herzegovina3c500$15 inLost-$14.58932.6%29 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Bosnia and Herzegovina3c490$13 inLost-$13.232,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x688d…c6d5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina3c421.07$12 inLost-$11.791233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.