Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5259a1ce9912281199f46de5ccef6b6264c70d218cfe7da8ac6b386216727137
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 53c | 1,337$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.13 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 46c | 1,335$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.56 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…d109backed Over | 47c | 1,315$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 1,288$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 44c | 1,132$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.42 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 54c | 973.77$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.57 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Over | 46c | 973.48$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.8 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 49c | 759.1$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.31 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 47c | 723.67$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.15 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 49c | 605.54$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.8 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 51c | 581.93$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.51 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 53c | 528.25$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.97 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…2d0fbacked Under | 47c | 501.79$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 24c | 481$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.34 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1483…48fabacked Under | 67c | 480.34$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.34 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 47c | 404.26$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.26 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed Under | 49c | 387.44$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.59 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 49c | 337.5$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.35 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 25c | 297$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 23c | 257$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 50c | 233.67$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.88 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…5695backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Over | 48c | 182.5$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 25c | 179$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 24c | 120.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 31c | 108.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 105.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a07…267fbacked Over | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Over | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 53c | 64.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…d4ffbacked Under | 51c | 59.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3874…30f2backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 56c | 53.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 22c | 53.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 54c | 44.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 44c | 41.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Over | 53c | 37.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 294 | 28.9%85 W · 209 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 52c | 36.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29cb…1cb7backed Under | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +179.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 53c | 31.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2617…4129backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 60c | 24.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…e7bfbacked Over | 50c | 24.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-4.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-5.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceUnited States won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.