Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: United States (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcee1e52c2efbdf267746861fd52045aea5301133ed815cc24b0cac43a274ca03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bosnia and Herzegovinaof United States, Bosnia and Herzegovina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325f…4511backed United States | 7c | 26,219$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.45 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed United States | 10c | 16,592$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.96 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked United States | 9c | 15,194$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.42 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked United States | 11c | 7,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed United States | 8c | 4,796$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.71 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked United States | 11c | 3,636$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked United States | 11c | 3,636$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked United States | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed United States | 11c | 2,412$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.33 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked United States | 6c | 1,938$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…5336backed United States | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed United States | 9c | 1,559$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.31 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed United States | 10c | 1,300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed United States | 10c | 1,111$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 384 | 37%142 W · 242 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed United States | 11c | 1,100$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…5794backed United States | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 115 | 31.3%36 W · 79 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…655fbacked United States | 9c | 922.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…ec6abacked United States | 11c | 884.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 431 | 39%168 W · 263 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed United States | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2053…1eedbacked United States | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked United States | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed United States | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 118 | 11.9%14 W · 104 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…f034backed United States | 10c | 499.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x408c…2e26backed United States | 12c | 332.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed United States | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed United States | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed United States | 10c | 299.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed United States | 11c | 299.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed United States | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked United States | 11c | 197.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…9241backed United States | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…f6a1backed United States | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…d9fdbacked United States | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked United States | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…8f3ebacked United States | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 212 | 41.5%88 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…7750backed United States | 12c | 161.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…73debacked United States | 11c | 137.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb8…135cbacked United States | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f40…d5b0backed United States | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed United States | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: United States (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-4.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-5.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceUnited States won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.